Tuesday, February 13, 2024

Your 2024 Giants are now Soler Powered

Per tweet last night by Susan Slusser, Jorge Soler will sign with the Giants.  Per reporting from The Athletic, it will be for 3 years, $42M, no word on any other contract terms, but there does not appear to be any opt outs.  The rumor mill had it that Soler wanted three years, and the Giants eventually gave him that, though perhaps less per season.

Saturday, February 10, 2024

Zaidi Success Streak in Finding a Valuable Player: 2022 and 2023

As I captured in my first post and second post about his finding young contributors, Zaidi as Dodger GM had a streak of adding prospects or young veterans at low cost (either in money or prospects or both), and still in their 20's, but wasn't established yet, who contributed at least 1.0 bWAR at some point during Zaidi's time there, and he was able to continue that into 2019, whereas the Dodger's streak ended in 2019, and he continued in 2020 and 2021 with the Giants.  This post will look at his record in 2022 and 2023.

ogc thoughts

In 2022, the streak continued, with the addition of Jacob Junis, and Yaz led the way again.  These players, who were all originally acquired when they were in their 20's, and were not all that good before acquisition, added at least 1.0 bWAR in 2022 for the Giants:

  • Mike Yastrzemski (31 YO): 1.9 bWAR; he continues to deliver value, after being acquired for the 2019 season.
  • Thairo Estrada (26 YO): 1.6 bWAR; he got into 140 games, starting 129 of them, and played across most of the diamond.
  • Jacob Junis (29 YO): 1.6 bWAR; he was a nice surprise, and continued Zaidi's streak of adding a new player producing at least 1.0 bWAR
  • Tyler Rogers (30 YO): 1.0 bWAR; as I noted in the post link above, Rogers was added because the prior GM never gave him a chance.
  • J.D. Davis (29 YO): 0.9 bWAR; great contribution in 49 games, 32 starts, would prorate above 1 WAR
  • Wilmer Flores (30 YO): 0.7 bWAR; I include him because it was a relatively small contract.
  • Alex Young (28 YO): 0.6 bWAR
  • Jarlin Garcia (29 YO): 0.4 bWAR
  • Luis Ortiz (26 YO): 0.3 bWAR
  • Mauricio Dubon (27 YO): 0.2 bWAR
  • LaMonte Wade Jr (28 YO):  0.0 bWAR
  • Zack Littell (26 YO): 0.1 bWAR

There were a number of negatives as well, but nobody is perfect. The point is that he added players who produced well, at least at a 1.0 bWAR production rate and together produced 9.3 bWAR to the 2022 team.  This was a sharp drop from the prior two seasons, which were boosted greatly by the Gausman addition, as well as declines by past contributors. The 2022 team was mainly boosted by Estrada playing a full season, and the additions of Junis and Davis.

There were improvements and new additions in 2023, and his streak continued with the final push by Tristan Beck to reach the benchmark 1.0 bWAR:

  • LaMonte Wade Jr (29 YO): 2.7 bWAR; great comeback season, was finally healthy
  • Wilmer Flores (31 YO): 2.6 bWAR; I include him because it was a relatively small contract and added in his 20's.
  • Mike Yastrzemski (32 YO): 2.4 bWAR; continued to produce in his early 30's (has added 12.0 bWAR while with the Giants) 
  • Thairo Estrada (27 YO): 2.3 bWAR; continued to produce and improve as a starter, great young find
  • Tyler Rogers (31 YO): 1.7 bWAR; Rogers was originally added because the prior GM never gave him a chance and he was added in his 20's.
  • Tristan Beck (27 YO): 1.1 bWAR; acquired in trade of Mark Melancon. I'm stretching my definition a bit to include him, as he was acquired in Melancon trade, because the idea is for low cost acquisitions. But I'm including him because it was a good trade, to dump money, where prospects is of lesser concern. A trade like getting Jeff Kent for Matt Williams would not count for this since the idea of the trade was to get value for value.
  • J.D. Davis (29 YO): 0.9 bWAR; wasn't as good in a starting role, unfortunately, but still added some
  • Jacob Junis (30 YO): 0.8 bWAR; wasn't used as much, despite all the holes in the rotation
  • Blake Sobol (25 YO):  0.2 bWAR; Rule 5 Draft pick, had to be kept on the roster all season for the Giants to keep him on the team past this season, I view this as a success of Zaidi's processes for acquiring young talent at low cost, though it is not that high a WAR, but when I first started this up at the end of the season, he was actually at 0.6 bWAR.

Overall, including others with positive and other with negative, these players, all acquired by Zaidi when they were under 30 YO, and not for much money or assets used to acquire, produced 13.9 bWAR in 2023, which is nearly what was produced in 2020-21, and both were about 3 times as much as produced in 2019, as prior acquisitions continue to contribute while adding in new producers.

Farm System Producing

Because the young players were a more prominent part of the season, I thought I would start addressing the homegrown portion of the roster.  These players produced 10.6 bWAR in 2023 (there are some repeats here, from above), with the vast majority produced by the three veterans, and below are all the positive contributors, I'm skipping over the ones below zero:

  • Logan Webb:  5.5 bWAR
  • Tyler Rogers: 1.7 bWAR
  • Camilo Doval: 1.5 bWAR
  • Tristan Beck:  1.1 bWAR, Beck did well as a bulk reliever
  • Ryan Walker: 1.0 bWAR, Walker excelled as an opener, could be future set up man, if he can continue doing well
  • Patrick Bailey: 0.8 bWAR, Patty excelled as a catcher, but unfortunately the long season appear to have caught up to him, he will need to build on his stamina. Still, he was a Gold Glove finalist (one of 3), and although only promoted in mid-May, led the NL in a number of catching stats. Also, baseball-reference doesn't include framing value, but Fangraphs does and he had 2.6 fWAR, which should be more representative of his value.
  • Austin Slater:  0.7 bWAR
  • Keaton Winn:  0.3 bWAR, Winn did really well as a bulk reliever, but got hit hard at home, ending up with a huge ERA despite great peripherals (8.9 K/9; 2.30 K/BB). Most projection systems see a better performance from Winn than Beck
  • Kyle Harrison: 0.2 bWAR, Harrison is the top ranked LHP in most Top 100 rankings for 2023 and 2024 seasons, he made the leap to the majors, with some ups and downs (so did Cain and Lincecum), especially that great early start. The seasonal rate for this is 1.0 bWAR, so as a 21 YO rookie, he was almost an average pitcher. The future is bright for this one!
  • Tyler Fitzgerald: 0.2 bWAR, this rookie was a nice last minute surprise, producing a lot of power in just 10 games started. Not sure why he wasn't promoted earlier, as it appears that for 2023, it was fish or cut bait time, so they finally gave him a shot, and he did well.  Since he can play almost every position on the field, except catch and pitch, he will likely start the season as a utility player, but will get starts across the diamond, both to give him experience, as well as rest players. 

Now, among the ones who were below zero, I thought I would discuss two of them, Luis Matos and Heliot Ramos.

Thoughts on Luis Matos

Matos had an up and down season. He was especially bad at defense, considering defense was supposed to be part of his package.  His hitting was actually okay, about average, as his offense prorated to a full season was close to 2 wins, but his defense prorated to -3 wins, it was that bad.  He was only 21 YO, and the Giants have already signed Jung Hoo Lee to be the starting CF, and Zaidi in a recent interview, noted that Matos is now the starting LF, which means Conforto is the main DH.

Since he was so bad fielding CF, moving him to LF should help to minimize him as a defensive liability, especially since Lee is considered a plus defender in CF, which should also help to cover for Matos' lack of natural fielding instincts, which I saw noted in a variety of reports on him.

As I noted in my last post (where I analyzed Heliot Ramos), part of my prospect analysis covers the prospect's age in relationship to the league average, as I've noticed that performances, at least in the minors, follow the pattern of excelling when in the same relative age range as before, when he excelled previously.  

In 2023, he was 21 and -5.6 years younger than the players in AAA, and hit .353/.404/.626/1.030, with a .336 BABIP.  That compares with his .304/.399/.444/.842 in AA, with a .320 BABIP,  where he was -2.7 years younger.  That's similar to his 2021 season, where he was 19 YO (-2.1 years) and hit .313/.359/.495/.853 in A-ball, with a .332 BABIP.  He did not hit that well in 2022, where he was 20 YO, -2.6 years, hitting only .211/.275/.344/.619, with a .226 BABIP, showing how low he can go. And in 2023 in the majors, he hit .250/.319/.342/.661, with a .285 BABIP, and was -7.2 years younger than the league.

For Matos, a 22 YO in 2025, he'll be -6.2 years younger than the league. He is roughly the age behind the league as he was in 2023 in AAA, where he was -5.6 years younger, and he hit well, albeit in small samples, but his BABIP was basically near what he has hit before when he hit well, so it does not seem that far out of the question that this batting line was real.  

Here's why I believe in Luis Matos:  his contact rate and eye are great for hitters.  He had good contact rates (85% and higher is good) and eye (100% and higher is elite):  

  • A-ball:  86% contact rate (AB-K/AB), 46% eye (walks/strikeouts), .853 OPS, .332 BABIP (-2.1 years)
  • Advanced A-ball, A+:  82% contact rate, 42% eye, .619 OPS, .226 BABIP (-2.6 years)
  • AA:  90% contact rate, 142% eye (ultra-elite), .842 OPS, .320 BABIP (-2.7 years)
  • AAA:  92% contact rate, 100% eye (still elite), 1.030 OPS, .336 BABIP (-5.6 years)
  • Majors: 86% contact rate, 61% eye (good hitters are above 50%), .661 OPS, .285 BABIP (-7.2 years)

This reminds me of how well Pablo Sandoval (the Panda) did in the minors before he made the majors.  He had really good contact rates as he rose in the minors (lacked the patience that Matos showed).  Then his power kicked in when he turned 22.  Panda averaged a homer every 22 AB in AA when he was promoted to the majors, where he averaged a homer every 48 AB.  Matos averaged a homer every 30 AB in A-ball, every 34 AB in A+ball, every 38 AB in AA, and every 16 AB in AAA (obvious outlier), and then every 114 AB in the majors.  Hopefully the power he showed in the minors will translate to the majors soon enough, 30-38 AB roughly is equivalent to 15-20 homers in a season.

With a contact rate of 86% and eye of 61% in the majors in 253 plate appearances, that demonstrates his ability to correctly gauge the strike zone and make contact better than most major leaguers, so the next step in his development is for him to do more damage with his bat when he makes contact.  He reportedly has worked out this offseason to bring his power into play in the majors, and there is a picture of him circulating around showing off the extra body weight he has gained. 

At this point, I have greater hope that he can produce as a major leaguer than any other Giants OF prospects, simply because he's shown that he can be good judging the strike zone in the majors and making contact.  Add in his production in the minors when challenged by being one of the most youngest in that level, the ability to keep on making good contact, then with him taking a leap in ability in 2023, gaining more walks at every level, including the majors, vs. his ability before at lower levels, and thus I can see why Zaidi announced recently that they are starting Matos in LF in 2024.  He has the potential to break out if given the opportunity, and at worse, if he struggles again, Conforto can slide back into LF from DH, or perhaps another OF will get the opportunity to play (Meckler, Ramos, Fitzgerald, Sabol, McCray, basically in that order).

Thoughts on Heliot Ramos

I still believe in Heliot Ramos.  Ramos finally broke through and had a good season in AAA.  His best seasons were in 2019 and 2023, when he was 3.5 and 3.6 years younger than the league.  Unfortunately, he was 5.2 years younger than the majors in 2023, would puts him at 4.2 years in 2024, and 3.2 years in 2025, when he would be 25 YO.  He should be out of options that year, and hopefully ready to break out, and he might break out late in the 2024 season, if he follows his age vs league pattern.  And with all the OF on the roster, and Lee signed to be the starting CF, I don't think he will see much action in the majors in 2024, unless there is a lot of problems with the outfielders.

I covered this in greater detail in the last post I published.  As noted above, Zaidi recently noted in an interview that Matos is the starting LF in the current configuration of the starting lineup, with Jung Hoo Lee in CF, and Yaz and Slater platooning in RF, which presumably means Conforto is the DH (though a recent rumor is that the Giants are pursuing Jorge Soler to be their DH, so stay tuned for more changes). So I'm pasting the last three paragraphs, with changes to account for Matos in LF:

However, given how poorly he hit in the majors in 2023, I would be cautious and look at 2025 being the season he breaks out (when he's 25 YO), with 2024 being perhaps in the .700-ish OPS range in the majors, where he doesn't play much unless he can keep his OPS above .700 consistently, instead of going hot and cold all the time.  I would not bet on him breaking out, but I wouldn't bet against him either, depends on how he does the first half of 2024. 

His main problem, as with most prospects who struggle, they just strike out too much.  Some fans complain he hasn't gotten a chance, but in his chances so far, he's been striking out a ton in the majors while not getting much walks or hits. It's one thing if he's blasting homers while striking out, like he did in Sacramento last season, but one homer in 82 plate appearances, with a weak ISO of 92, speaks to an overmatched hitter.  I think he will get more opportunities in 2024 (of course, that's a low bar, some critics would note), and will break out sooner than later.

And he probably will get opportunities to play in the majors in any case in 2024.  I doubt there will be another starting OF signed, so as noted above, it'll be Matos in LF, Lee in CF (where he's expected to be plus defensively, and can help Matos out in left center), and Yaz/Slater in RF (where they have been good defenders before), with Wade as a backup OF, but mainly platooning at 1B.  Hopefully we don't see much of Ramos in 2024 because that means issues for someone in the OF, but since Yaz and Slater seems to be injury prone, I expect Ramos to get occasional opportunities to show his progress vis-a-vis the majors.

2024-25 Could End the Complainers' Comments on Developing OF

Based on the above, the starting lineup by 2025 could be Matos in LF, Lee in CF, and Ramos in RF, and the three of them could end the complaints that the Giants haven't developed a starting OF since Chili Davis, if they produce well.

Speaking of Lee, I haven't decided if Lee should qualify for extetnding this streak in 2024.  Technically, he would, as he has had no MLB experience, and essentially is a good minor leaguer.  However, he was paid over $100M, so it's not like the Giants didn't think that he wasn't talented.  I'm open to being convinced either way, if anyone would like to chime in.  

Wednesday, January 31, 2024

Your 2023 Giants: To Zaidi or Not Series - Realists vs. Rationalizing Fans

There was only going to be seven in my series. But I decided to add a bonus additional one because of my recent interaction with a troll (he/she called themselves that).

He/she said that he/she is a realist and that I'm just rationalizing my thoughts on why I think the Giants can be competitive in 2024.  Thinking through this, I realized that much of what the downcast Giants fans are doing are rationalizations of their unhappiness with the team. 

Labels

1984 Draft (1) 2007 Draft (15) 2007 Giants (52) 2008 Draft (22) 2008 Giants (53) 2008 season (6) 2009 Draft (18) 2009 Giants (87) 2009 season (24) 2010 Decade (12) 2010 Draft (11) 2010 Giants (137) 2010 NL ROY award (1) 2010 season (19) 2010's (3) 2011 Draft (9) 2011 Giants (84) 2011 season (8) 2012 Draft (11) 2012 Giants (93) 2012 season (11) 2013 Draft (3) 2013 Giants (39) 2013 season (5) 2014 (1) 2014 draft (5) 2014 Giants (79) 2014 season (16) 2015 Draft (4) 2015 Giants (50) 2015 season (10) 2016 Draft (1) 2016 Giants (45) 2016 season (6) 2017 Draft (3) 2017 Giants (27) 2018 Draft (8) 2018 Giants (50) 2018 Season (8) 2019 Draft (1) 2019 Giants (27) 2019 season (2) 2020 Decade (1) 2020 Giants (9) 20201 Draft (1) 2021 Giants (3) 2022 Giants (2) 2023 Giants (13) 2023 season (1) 2024 Giants (7) 25 man roster (10) 25th man fallacy (1) 3B (1) 40 Man Roster (10) 49ers (1) 5-day rotation (1) 51/49 decisions (1) 6-man rotation (5) 89 Quake (1) 89 World Series (1) A-Ball (1) A-Gon (1) A-Rod (3) A's (6) AA-Ball (1) Aaron Rowand (25) Abiatal Avelino (1) accomplishments (1) ace pitcher (2) ace starter (3) Adalberto Mejia (6) Adam Duvall (5) AFL (4) aggression (1) Albert Suarez (5) Alen Hanson (3) Alex Cobb (1) Alex Dickerson (2) Alex Hinshaw (3) Alex Pavlovic (1) Alexander Canario (2) All-Star Game (1) almost perfect game (1) Alonzo Powell (1) Amphetamine (3) analysis (24) Andre Torres (14) Andres Torres (2) Andrew Baiiley (1) Andrew Bailey (1) Andrew McCutchen (2) Andrew Suarez (5) Andrew Susac (11) Andy Baggerly (2) Andy Sisco (1) Andy Suarez (9) Angel Joseph (1) Angel Pagan (17) Angel Villalona (30) Anniversary (1) appendicitis (1) Aramis Garcia (2) Arbitration (19) Armando Benitez (5) Armando Gallaraga (1) art of failure (1) Asia-Pacific signing (1) assessment (1) Astros (3) At the Rate They Are Going (1) ATT Park (1) Aubrey Huff (20) Austin Jackson (2) Austin Slater (5) Award (4) BABIP (3) Bam Bam Meulens (1) Barry Bonds (30) Barry Zito (77) baseball (1) Baseball America (3) Baseball Prospectus (6) Baseball Prospectus Bias Against Giants (4) baseball strategy (9) Baseball Study (18) baserunning (2) batting peripherals (1) batting stance analysis (1) batting title champion (1) Beat LA (9) bench players (4) Bengie Molina (14) Benjamin Snyder (1) Bert Blyleven (1) best manager (2) best practices (2) Beyond the Box Score (1) Bias Against Giants (1) Big 6 (9) Big Picture (3) Bill Hall (1) Bill James (1) Bill James Handbook (2) Bill Mueller (1) Bill Neukom (21) Billy Beane (3) biography (1) Blake Riverra (1) blog news (3) Blog Philosophy (3) Bob Howry (2) Bob Mariano (1) Bobby Evans (4) Boston Red Sox (1) Brad Hennessey (5) Brad Penny (2) Brandon Bednar (1) Brandon Belt (50) Brandon Crawford (25) Brandon Hicks (1) Braves (5) breakout (2) Brett Bochy (4) Brett Pill (9) Brewers (1) Brian Anderson (1) Brian Bannister (3) Brian Bocock (2) Brian Cooper (1) Brian Horwitz (3) Brian Ragira (2) Brian Sabean (50) Brian Wilson (14) Bridegrooms (6) Bruce Bochy (36) Bucky Showalter (1) bulllpen (8) Bullpen (33) Business Plan (23) Buster Posey (102) Byran Reynolds (2) Byung-Hyun Kim (1) Cained (4) call-ups (3) Candlestick Park (1) Cards (13) Career Prospects (4) Carl Hubbell (1) Carlos Beltran (4) Carlos Gomez (1) Carney Lansford (2) Carson Whisenhunt (1) Carter Jurica (1) Casey Kelly (1) Casey McGeHee (3) catcher injury (5) catching (3) CBT penalty (1) CC Sabathia (1) censorship (2) CEO (2) Chad Gaudin (5) Charles Culberson (5) Charlie Culberson (3) Chase Johnson (3) cheating (1) Chillax (1) Chris Brown (1) Chris Gloor (1) Chris Heston (19) Chris Lincecum (1) Chris Marrero (1) Chris O'Leary (1) Chris Ray (4) Chris Shaw (4) Chris Stewart (4) Chris Stratton (30) Chris Strattton (1) Christian Arroyo (7) Christmas (1) Christopher Dominguez (4) Christy Mathewson (1) Chuckie Jones (2) Clay Hensley (3) Clayton Blackburn (10) Clayton Tanner (3) Closer (9) closer by committee (3) Coaches (4) coaching changes (1) Cody Hall (2) Cody Ross (8) Col (1) Comeback Award (1) Commissioner (1) comparison (3) competitive advantage (1) Competitive Balance Tax (2) Competitive Cycles (2) competitiveness (2) Conner Menez (1) Connor Joe (3) Connor Nurse (1) Conor Gillaspie (25) contender (1) contract extension (3) contract negotiations (2) contract signing (7) Coordinator (1) core competency (1) Core Rotation (1) Cory Gearrin (5) Cory Guerrin (1) Cory Hart (1) Craig Whitaker (2) Cubs (1) Curt Young (1) cuts (1) Cy Young Award (5) cyber-relief (1) D-backs (16) D-gers (36) D-Rocks (3) D-Rox (17) D.J. Snelten (3) Dallas McPherson (1) Dan Ortmeier (11) Dan Otero (2) Dan Runzler (6) Dan Slania (3) Dan Uggla (1) Daniel Carbonell (1) Daniel Slania (2) Dany Jimenez (1) Darren Ford (1) Dave Righetti (1) Dave Roberts (11) David Aardsma (1) David Bell (1) David Huff (2) David Loewenstein (1) Decade of the Giants (12) decline (1) Defense (11) Deferred Money (1) deleted comment (1) Denard Span (3) depth (1) Dereck Rodriquez (7) Derek Holland (18) Derek Law (11) Detroit Tigers (1) DFA (3) DH (2) Dick Tidrow (2) dictionary (1) direction (1) Dirty (1) DL (3) dodgers (15) Donald Snelten (1) Donovan Solano (1) Draft (11) Draft Analysis (27) Draft Bonus (7) draft list (3) draft philosophy (2) draft signing (3) Draft Strategy (12) Draft Study (9) Draft Success (4) drafting (5) Dres (16) Drew Pomeranz (1) DRS (1) Dynasty (3) Earl Weaver (1) Edgar Renteria (13) Eduardo Nunez (4) Edwin Escobar (5) Ehire Adrianza (26) Eli Whiteside (4) Elimination game (1) EME (2) Emmanuel Burriss (18) end of an era (1) epic season (6) era (1) Eric Byrnes (1) Eric Surkamp (6) Erik Cordier (1) Eugenio Velez (12) evaluation (3) Evan Longoria (3) Evan Longoriia (1) extension (7) fan outrage (10) fan rants (2) fanfest (1) FanGraphs (2) Farhan Zaidi (34) feature reliever (1) felony conviction (1) Fielding (5) Fielding Stats (4) finger injury (3) first post-season press conference (3) Francisco Peguero (4) Fred Lewis (3) Freddie Lewis (17) Freddie Sanchez (4) Freddy Sanchez (7) Free Agency (8) free agent misses (1) Free agent possibilities (28) Free agent signing (21) Free agent signings (21) front office (3) Gabe Kapler (1) Game Score (3) gamer-tude (1) Garrett Williams (1) Gary Brown (26) Geno Espinelli (1) George Kontos (10) Ghosts of Giants Drafts (2) Giants (10) Giants Announcer (1) Giants blogs (3) Giants Chat (4) Giants Classic Rotation (1) Giants Defense (4) Giants Draft (15) Giants Drafts (8) Giants Farm System (34) Giants Franchise record (2) Giants Future (66) Giants GM (12) Giants Greats (3) Giants hitting manual (1) Giants Leadership (1) Giants manager (1) Giants No-Hitter (5) Giants Offense (34) Giants Offseason (24) Giants Pitching (10) Giants President of Baseball Operations (3) Giants Strategy (44) GiDar (1) Gino Espinelli (1) glossary (1) Gold Glove Award (1) good players (4) good will (1) Gorkys Hernandez (2) Graphical Player (1) great players (4) Gregor Blanco (18) Gregor Moscoso (1) Gregory Santos (1) Guillermo Moscoso (2) Guillermo Mota (2) Guillermo Quiroz (1) Gustavo Cabrera (4) Hall of Fame (10) Hall of Shame (4) Hank Aaron (5) Happy Holidays (2) Hate mail (1) Hayden Birdsong (1) healthy (1) heart-warming (1) Heath Hembree (8) Heath Quinn (1) Hector Correa (1) Hector Sanchez (12) Heliot Ramos (11) Henry Sosa (8) HGH (1) Hidden Game (1) high expectations (1) high school focus in draft (1) high velocity hitters (1) high velocity pitchers (1) hiring (2) hiring process (1) Hitter's League (1) Hitting (19) Hitting Coach (1) hitting mechanics (3) hitting pitchers (2) hitting streak (1) Hitting; (1) Home Run Career Record (7) Home Run Hitting Contest (1) Hunter Bishop (4) Hunter Pence (25) Hunter Stickland (1) Hunter Strickland (9) Ian Gardeck (1) Idea (4) IFA (1) improvement (2) Indictment (1) Infield (1) injury (7) instant replay (2) instructor (1) Interesting Question (1) International Free Agent Pursuits (5) International Signings (5) interview (5) Investment (1) Ivan Ochoa (2) J.P. Martinez (1) J2 (1) Jack Taschner (4) Jackson Williams (3) Jacob Dunnington (1) Jacob Gonzalez (2) Jacob Junis (1) Jacob McCasland (1) Jae-gyun Hwang (1) Jake Dunning (2) Jake Peavy (39) Jake Smith (1) Jake Wong (1) Jalen Miller (1) Jandel Gustave (1) Japanese Starters (1) Jarrett Parker (10) Jason Heyward (1) Jason Maxwell (2) Jason Stoffel (1) Javier Lopez (5) JC Gutierrez (3) Jean Machi (6) Jeff Kent (1) Jeff Samardzija (28) Jeff Suppan (1) Jeremy Affeldt (12) Jeremy Shelley (2) Jerome Williams (1) Jesse English (2) Jesse Foppert (1) Jesus Guzman (4) Jimmy Rollins (1) Joaquin Arias (14) Joe Panik (18) Joe Torre (1) Joey Bart (5) Joey Martinez (2) Johan Santana (1) John Barr (1) John Bowker (22) John Thorn (1) Johneshwy Fargas (2) Johnny Bench (1) Johnny Cueto (31) Johnny Monell (1) Johnny Rucker (1) Jonah Arenado (1) Jonathan Mayo (1) Jonathan Sanchez (49) Jordan Hicks (1) Jordan Johnson (1) Jorge Soler (1) Jose Canseco (1) Jose Casilla (1) Jose Guillen (3) Jose Mijares (3) Jose Uribe (2) Josh Osich (9) JT Snow (1) Juan Perez (6) Juan Uribe (9) Juggling Monkey (1) Julian Fernandez (7) Julio Urias (1) Jung Hoo Lee (2) jury (1) Just Say No (1) Kelby Tomlinson (5) Kendry Flores (2) Keury Mella (2) Kevin Correia (2) Kevin Frandsen (22) Kevin Gausman (3) Kevin Pillar (2) Kevin Pucetas (10) KNBR (1) Kung Fu Panda (30) Kyle Crick (16) Kyle Harrison (5) laid off (1) Larry Baer (3) Larry Ellison (1) Lead-off (2) leadoff (1) left-handed (1) Lew Wolff (1) LHP (1) Lineup (17) lineup construction (4) Lineup position (1) links (1) Logan Webb (3) Lon Simmons (1) long relief (2) Long-Term Contract (22) long-term planning (3) losing streak (1) Lucius Fox (3) luck (2) Luis Angel Mateo (2) Luis Matos (2) Luis Toribio (1) lunatic fringe (1) Mac Marshall (1) Mac Williamson (12) Madison Bumgarner (185) Mailbox (1) Malcolm Gladwell (1) management change (3) management issues (5) managerial value (5) Manny (1) Marc Kroon (2) Marco Luciano (3) Marco Scutaro (12) Mark DeRosa (8) Mark Gardner (1) Mark Melancon (4) Marlon Byrd (1) Martin Agosta (7) Marvin Miller (1) Masahiro Tanaka (1) Mason Black (1) Mason McVay (1) Matsuzaka (1) Matt Cain (160) Matt Daniels (3) Matt Downs (2) Matt Duffy (8) Matt Graham (1) Matt Holliday (1) Matt Krook (2) Matt Moore (15) Matt Morris (2) Mauricio Dubon (2) Mechanics (4) Media (17) Media Bias (17) media hypocrisy (1) Media Trade Idea (3) Medical (1) Mediocy (11) Mediots (6) Melk-Gone (1) Melky Cabrera (14) Melvin Adon (1) memories (1) mental (1) Merkin Valdez (8) Message in a Bottle (1) methodology (2) MI (1) Michael Main (1) Michael Reed (1) Michael Trout (1) middle infield (2) Miguel Cabrera (2) Miguel Gomez (1) Miguel Tejada (5) Mike Fontenot (3) Mike Ivie (1) Mike Kickham (9) Mike Leake (11) Mike Matheny (1) Mike Morse (10) Mike Yazstremski (2) milestone (1) minor league (1) minor league contract (4) minors (11) mismanagement (1) misnomer (1) mistakes (2) MLB (2) MLB stupidity (2) MLB Success (7) MLB Trade Rumors (1) MLBAM (1) MLBTR (1) MLE (1) Mock Draft analysis (8) Modern Portfolio Theory (1) Modus Operandi (2) MPT (1) MVP (2) Natanael Javier (1) Nate Schierholtz (45) Nathanael Javier (1) Nationals (1) Naysayers (2) Negotiations (1) Neil Ramirez (1) NewPQS (8) Next Gen (1) Nick Hundley (2) Nick Noonan (27) Nick Pereira (1) Nick Vander Tuig (2) Nick Vincent (1) NL Champions (2) NL West (29) NL West Division Title (20) NL West Future (1) NLCS (22) NLCS MVP (2) NLDS (8) Noah Lowry (14) non-roster invitees (2) non-tenders (3) Nori Aoki (4) NPB (1) NRI (1) Oakland A's (4) OBP (1) oddities (1) Offense (4) offensive era (1) ogcPQS (6) Omar Vizquel (3) one-run games (3) Opener (1) openers (1) Opening Day (6) opening day pitcher (3) opening day roster (11) Optimism (1) Osiris Matos (2) Outfield (3) overturned (1) Ownership (7) Pablo Sandoval (97) Padres (1) Panda (6) Pandoval (1) passing (1) Pat Burrell (15) Pat Misch (5) Patrick Bailey (1) Payroll (11) PECOTA (1) Pedro Feliz (12) PEDS (10) Perfect Game (2) perjury trial (1) personal (2) Personal Reminiscence (2) Pessimism (1) Pete Palmer (1) Pete Putila (1) Pete Rose (3) Peter Magowan (2) Phil Bickford (3) Phillies (7) philosophy (1) Phoenix Theory of Rebuilding (1) Pierce Johnson (2) Pitch Count (3) pitch framing (1) pitch value (1) Pitcher hitting 8th (1) pitcher’s health (1) Pitchers League (1) Pitching (27) pitching analysis (4) pitching development (3) Pitching Rotation (88) pitching staff (6) pitching strategy (2) plate discipline (1) platoon players (2) Play Ball (1) player acquisition (1) player budget (2) player development (7) playoff (2) playoff analysis (2) playoff hopes (37) playoff roster (2) playoff rotation (6) Playoff Success (27) Playoff Win Effective (3) Playoff Win Efficient (2) Playoffs (44) postmortem (2) PQS (109) press conference (2) pressure (2) priorities (1) Projected Record (6) projection (2) projections (2) promotion (2) prospect (3) prospect analysis (7) prospect future (1) prospect handling (1) Prospect of Note (3) prospect promotion (1) prospect study (2) Prospects (46) quality starts (1) questions (1) radio great (1) Rafael Rodriquez (8) Rajai Davis (2) Ralph Barbieri (1) Ramon Ramirez (3) Randy Johnson (10) Randy Messenger (2) Randy Winn (14) Rangers (5) Ranking (4) rant (1) raspberry (1) rationalization (1) Ray Durham (5) re-sign (2) realist (1) Rebuilding (5) Rebuilding Myths series (1) rebuttal (1) Red Sox (1) Reds (5) rehab (1) reliever (3) relievers (1) Relocation Concession (2) Research (2) resource scarcity (1) rest for starters (1) Retired (3) Retirement (3) return (1) Reyes Moronta (3) RHP (1) Ricardo Genoves (1) Rich Aurilia (7) Rick Peterson (1) Rickie Weeks (1) Ricky Oropesa (3) right-handed (1) risk mitigation (2) risk profile (1) Roberto Gomez (1) Rockies (2) Rod Beck (1) Roger Kieschnick (13) Roger Metzger (1) Ron Shandler (2) Ron Wotus (1) Ronnie Jebavy (1) Ronnie Ray (1) rookie debut (1) Rookie of the Year (1) Roster (4) rosterbation (2) Rotation by Committee (1) ROY (2) Royals (3) Rule 5 (2) Rule 5 Draft Pick (5) rumors (9) run differential (1) run prevention (1) run production (1) runs support (1) Russ Ortiz (11) Russell Carleton (1) Ryan Garko (2) Ryan Klesko (4) Ryan Rohlinger (2) Ryan Theriot (3) Ryan Vogelsong (93) Ryder Jones (2) Sabean Naysayers (7) Sabermetric Thoughts (6) sabermetrics (5) SABR (1) Salary speculation (3) SALLY (1) Sam Dyson (7) Sam Long (1) Sam Selman (1) Sam Wolff (1) San Jose Giants (1) San Jose Relocation (3) Sandro Fabian (2) Sandy Rosario (1) Santiago Casilla (9) scenarios (1) Scott Boras (1) Scott Harris (2) Scott McClain (2) Scott Shuman (1) Scouting (2) Sean Hjelle (5) season review (1) secret sauce (2) Sergio Romo (17) Seth Corry (6) SF Giants (2) Shilo McCall (1) Shohei Ohtani (3) Shohei Otani (2) Shooter (1) shutouts (1) Signature Song (1) signing (13) Silly-Ball (3) South Atlantic League (1) South Bay Rights (1) SP usage (1) spin rate (1) splits (2) Sports Illustrated (1) Spring Training (16) stabilized stats (1) standings (1) starting CF (1) starting lineup (19) starting pitching (96) starting rotation (4) Statcorner (1) State of the Giants (1) statistics (2) STATS (1) Steamer (1) Stephen Vogt (1) Steroids (7) Steve Edlefsen (4) Steve Johnson (3) Steve Okert (8) Steven Duggar (7) strikeout rate (2) Sue Burns (1) sunk costs (1) superstition (1) tactics (1) talent evaluation (4) Tax (1) team culture (1) Team of the 2010's (2) Team of the 2020's (1) Team of the Decade (4) Team Speed (1) Team Support (1) Thank You (2) The Evil Ones (tm) (1) The Giants Way (2) The Hardball Times (1) The Hey Series (19) The Hey Zaidi Series (4) Thomas Joseph (3) Thomas Neal (9) Tigers (4) Tim Alderson (17) Tim Hudson (39) Tim Lincecum (195) TINSTAAPP (1) Todd Linden (3) Todd Wellemeyer (6) Tommy Joseph (3) Tony Watson (4) Top 100 Prospects (1) Top 14 Roster (1) Top Draft Position (4) top Giants prospects (5) top player list (1) top prospect list (6) Trade (12) Trade Analysis (22) Trade Idea (9) Trade PTBNL (2) Trade Rumors (30) trading (1) training staff (2) Training Tool (1) Travis Blackley (1) Travis Ishikawa (47) Trevor Brown (5) Trevor Gott (1) tribute (1) Tristan Beck (2) turning point (1) Ty Blach (23) Tyler Austin (1) Tyler Beede (10) Tyler Cyr (1) Tyler Horan (1) Tyler McDonald (1) Tyler Rogers (2) Tyler Walker (2) umpire mistake (3) Umpires (3) USA Today (1) utility (1) Voros McCracken (1) Waiver Roulette (1) Waldis Joaquin (5) walks (1) Wall of Fame (1) WAR (4) Warrior Spirit (1) Wendell Fairley (10) What-If Scenario (3) wild card (1) wild card race (1) Will Bednar (1) Will Clark (1) Will Smith (7) Will Wilson (3) Williams Jerez (1) Willie Mac Award (1) Willie Mays (1) winning on the road (1) Winter League (1) winter meetings (3) World Series (28) World Series Champions (13) WS Ring Bling (1) xBABIP (1) xwOBA (1) Yankees (1) Yusmeiro Petit (40) Zack Cozart (2) Zack Wheeler (9) Zaidi MO (2) Zaidi Rotation (3) ZiPS (1) Zito Role (2)