And for this post (and this year), I'm trying to write up shorter posts (we'll see :^).
After the Giants hired John Barr, to help improve our success rate (or late thereof), the Giants has perceptibly changed their draft philosophy. Before, they were almost always drafting off the beaten path, selecting players who were not showing up on other's radars until later in the draft. A study I did of draft picks over a number of years found that most of the Giants draft picks were all selected a least a round, if not multiple rounds, before consensus thought (as represented by Baseball America's Top 500 list, usually released in the weeks leading up to the draft).
After Barr, they still do this, but now mixes in a good selection of players who fell in the draft for one reason or another. Crawford, Susac, and Osich are good examples of this, from the past, as they were all considered first rounders at some point, but lack of expected performance (Crawford) and/or injuries (Susac/hamate, Osich/arm issues) pushed them back in the draft.
Examining the Giants Recent Draft Habits
So I dug into a few of my old Baseball America Prospect Handbooks (been wanting too since I learned that Crawford was a Top 10 ranked prospect pre-season), and looked up their pre-season Top 100 College and Top 100 High School prospects for the draft that year. Here are the names and spots from the last four drafts with their ranking in that year's handbook (most are college, HS when noted) and drafted that year (unless noted otherwise), their ranking in Baseball America's Top 500 pre-draft ranking, and their Giants draft round and pick overall (bolding those picked at least a round after overall rank or after 10 round):
2012 (reminder, first rank is limited to college or HS, second is overall)
- Stephen Johnson (#26 in BA Top 100 College pre-season; #63 pre-draft overall; Giants pick Round 6, #208 overall pick)
- Martin Agosta (#34; #106; Round 2, #84)
- Ian Gardeck (#52; not in Top 500; Round 16, #508)
- Matt Duffy (#92; not in Top 500; Round 18, #568)
- Brian Ragira (#25; #142; Round 4, #132)
- Dan Slania (#26; #153; Round 5, #162)
- Chase Johnson (#32; #183; Round 3, #101)
- Tyler Horan (#47; #293; Round 8, #252)
- Nick Vander Tuig (#43; #145; Round 6, #192)
- Ryder Jones (#37 HS; #197; Round 2, #64)
- Tyler Beede (#4; #15; Round 1, #14)
- Dylan Davis (#21; #93; Round 3, #87)
- Andrew Suarez (#23; #75; Round 2 of 2015 draft)
- Sam Coonrod (#35; #136; Round 5, #148)
- Aramis Garcia (#44; #74; Round 2, #52)
- Hunter Cole (#78; #241; Round 26, #778)
- Mac Marshall (#16 HS; #57; Round of 2015 draft)
- Phil Bickford (#14; #27; Round 1, #18)
- Mac Marshall (#23; #86; Round 4, #126)
- Andrew Suarez (#25; #73; Round 2, #61)
- C.J. Hinojosa (#27; #311; Round 11, #336)
- Steven Duggar (#33; #167; Round 6, #186)
- Chris Shaw (#35; #45; Round 1s, #31)
- David Graybill (#88; #447; Round 9, #276)
- Jalen Miller (#31 HS; #35; Round 3, #95)
- Lucius Fox (#63 HS; NA; IFA signing)
- 2012: They only had 4 in 2012, picking one player roughly around their Top 500 ranking, and snagging three Top 100 pre-season rankers (Johnson, Gardeck, Duffy) in later picks. With 30 teams, the average is roughly 3 Top 100 players per team for college and HS. Giants, being a team that focuses on college players more, got more than their share of college, less for HS.
- 2013: They bumped it up to 6 the next draft, all college, but this time five of six were selected about or much before what their Top 500 ranking would suggest, with one drafted about two rounds after where his rank was (Vander Tuig). Basically double their share of college
- 2014: With a slight drop, they had 5 in 2014 (though ultimately 7 because two of them were drafted in 2015), they had 5 college picks again (ultimately 6 college, 1 HS). They drafted four about where expected based on pre-draft rank, and one (Cole) much later than would be expected based on his rank.
- 2015: Big jump this season, grabbing 9 players from the top pre-season rankings, 7 college and 2 HS (though one HS was via IFA). Five were drafted around or before ranking, three were drafted significantly after (though two got overslot offers to make up for some of that drop, Marshall and Miller), and one was signed via IFA (and got the second largest bonus in Giants history, just behind Buster Posey).
- Ian Gardeck
- Matt Duffy
- Chase Johnson
- Tyler Beede
- Sam Coonrod
- Aramis Garcia
- Hunter Cole
- Phil Bickford
- Mac Marshall
- Andrew Suarez
- Steve Duggar
- Chris Shaw
- Jalen Miller
- Lucius Fox Jr.
- Chase Johnson
- Tyler Horan
- Ryder Jones
- David Graybill