- Round 1.18: RHP Phil Bickford (21; 27; 42)
- Round 1.31: 1B Chris Shaw (46; 45; 51)
- Round 2.61: LHP Andrew Suarez (75; 73; 85)
- Round 3.95: SS Jalen Miller (41; 35; 54)
- Round 4.126: LHP Mac Marshall (118; 86; 146)
- Round 5.156: CF Ronnie Jebavy (NR; 208; NR)
- Round 6.186: CF Steven Duggar (123; 167; 158)
- Round 7.216: 3B Jose Vizcaino Jr. (NR; 214; 238)
- Round 8.246: RHP Cory Taylor (NR; NR; NR)
- Round 9.276: RHP David Graybill (NR; 446; NR)
- Round 10.306: RHP Tyler Cyr (NR; NR; NR)
I really like the Bickford pick, and am OK with the Shaw pick. We don't need a power 1B (even if Belt is gone, right now, 1B appears to be Posey's long term position once he is ready to stop catching), but he is a really nice power hitter, and if he can continue to develop as a hitter, who knows, maybe he can handle being a LF, even though he has no speed at all, if the Giants play a far ranging CF next to him. Meanwhile, there were a number of interesting pitchers still available when he was selected. But the odds are so low here (and really for most picks), it is more a matter of preference than any real objection, if it comes to that.
Andrew Suarez (MLB.com):
Scouting grades: Fastball: 60 | Curveball: 50 | Slider: 50 | Changeup: 50 | Control: 55 | Overall: 45
Suarez has been a well-regarded prospect since high school and has twice been drafted in the top 10 rounds, including last year when the Nationals selected him 57th overall as a redshirt sophomore. Instead of signing, he opted to return to Miami and is once again an integral part of the Hurricanes weekend rotation.
Suarez throws his fastball in the low 90s, topping out at 95 mph. His changeup, slider and curveball all have the potential to be at least average offerings. He works around the strike zone with his whole arsenal and demonstrates a good feel for his craft.
While Suarez has tantalizing stuff, there are some questions about his durability because of his injury history and small frame. Labrum surgery sidelined him for his whole freshman season, and he missed time this spring due to an oblique strain. If he can stay healthy, however, he has the tools to become a big league starter.Andrew Suarez (Garrioch):
Andrew Suarez was taken 57th overall last year as a lefty that sits in the low 90's with an average slider and change. He isn't dominant but is a safe bet to be a back of the rotation arm or at least a lefty out of the pen in the bigs. The fact that he is now a senior with zero leverage could allow him to go as early as the comp round but could slide to the 4th round just as easily since he has never shown an out pitch.ogc: Sounds like a pitcher, versus a thrower, which the Giants love. They also love tantalizing stuff. Plus, anytime you got a LHP throwing 95 MPH, you need to drool a little. Typical of Barr picks, he was a well-regarded prospect since high school. Health worry, but presumably the Giants training/medical staff OKed this.
Jalen Miller (MLB.com):
Scouting grades: Hit: 50 | Power: 45 | Run: 55 | Arm: 50 | Field: 50 | Overall: 50
Alonzo Jones began 2015 as the top-rated middle-infield prospect among Georgia high schoolers, but Miller has surpassed him this spring. While Jones has superior speed, Miller has a more trustworthy bat and a much better chance of remaining in the infield in pro ball.
He's built like Brandon Phillips was when Phillips was a Georgia prepster drafted in the second round, and Miller should go in the same area this year. He projects as a similar offensive player to Phillips too. Miller has an efficient right-handed swing and though he's not big, he could generate 15-homer power thanks to his strong wrists.
A Clemson recruit, Miller exhibits good instincts in all phases of the game. His quickness, hands and arm get the job done at shortstop but may be better suited for second base at the next level.Jalen Miller (Garrioch):
Jalen Miller is one of the better high school short stops who is likely to stay there. He lacks the bat that other highly rated prep short stops have. Comparing him to past defense first short stops, like Oscar Mercado, I prefer Miller's bat but Mercado's defense. I don't see him too much differently than Richie Martin on the college side, just less proven. He has smooth actions and good hands. He may develop into an excellent hitter or he may not. That will show his ultimate value as defensively, he will be an asset. It just depneds if he'll be a top prospect or a future utility type. If he doesn't sign, he is comited to Clemson.Jalen Miller (MLB.com afterdraft)
Miller was ranked 41st on MLB.com's list of the Draft's top prospects. At 6-foot-1 and 185 pounds, Miller has been compared to Cincinnati second baseman Brandon Phillips, which partly accounts for talk that he may switch to the right side of the infield as a pro.
Then again, there's no guarantee that the Giants will be able to sign Miller. The Sandy Springs, Ga., resident has a scholarship to Clemson awaiting him.ogc: I would LOVE to get a Brandon Phillips type. He fell to us, so he might not want to sign for less, but the slot of $598K would be hard to pass up. Looks like defensively he can stick in the middle, and he may or may not prove to be a hitter. But 15-homer power would be pretty good up the middle. And the Giants love players with good instincts, they seem to gravitate to such prospects, like Noonan, Panik. Speaking of which, seems like Panik would be a good comp, with the same issues and worries, except that he appears to have more power, relative to what the experts were thinking when Panik was drafted, though now Panik looks like he will have that much power.
Mac Marshall (MLB.com):
Scouting Grades: Fastball: 50 | Curveball: 50 | Changeup: 60 | Control: 50 | Overall: 45
One of the better Draft prospects a year ago out of Georgia high school powerhouse Parkview, Marshall was drafted in the 21st round by the Astros. Many thought Houston would make a serious run at signing the southpaw, but he instead headed to LSU. Marshall changed course in September, leaving LSU for Chipola Junior College, making him Draft eligible again this year.
In many ways, Marshall looked the same as he did a year ago, with the chance to have a solid three-pitch mix and the ability to command them. His fastball sits in the 90-92 range and he'll occasionally touch a tick or two higher, but he hasn't added much velocity since 2014. He does have a very good changeup with good fade. He continues to work on improving his breaking ball, a curveball that shows glimpses, but is still inconsistent.
A broken hand kept him out of action for about a month, but he returned to the hill in late April. An elbow nerve issue forced him out of a late start, but he was throwing for scouts in late May to show teams he's healthy. If he can do that, his profile as an athletic lefty who knows how to pitch will interest many organizations during the Draft.Mac Marshall (Garrioch):
Shows flashes of three plus pitches. Velo needs to tick up for that but commands change and breaking ball well. Mid-rotation type with more upside.Mac Marshall (MLB.com after draft)
Marshall said that he closely follows Cubs left-hander Jon Lester, and not just because they're fellow Georgians (Marshall resides in Lilburn, about a half-hour west of Atlanta). Ranked 118th on MLB.com's Top 200 Draft prospects list, Marshall believes that he can thrive as Lester has done by alternating a fastball that reaches 95 mph with a changeup that darts away from right-handed batters.ogc: This is pretty good value back in the 4th round, perhaps the Giants can help him hone and make consistent the three plus pitches, with his changeup the best. He's another JC guy like Bickford, changing schools in order to be draft eligible in this draft. Has 44 K's in only 30.1 IP, versus 13 walks ( a bit high on the walks, but OK because of all the strikeouts, over 3x K/BB ratio). And the Giants love athletic players.
In addition, in an interview, Marshall said that signing is not a problem (Bickford said similarly; both were drafted before and turned down prior offers), that he's ready to start his career, after a bit of controversy last season with the Astro's bungling of the Aiken's situation, affecting both Nix and Marshall, apparently. Apparently his season was limited because of a freak injury to his thumb, breaking his bone. His coach noted that had he not been injured, he probably would have been drafted in the first two rounds. But with that Astros snafu and the broken thumb, that is probably why he says that he feels "very blessed to be drafted by the Giants." He still gets nearly $444K, assuming he signs for slot. I don't see why that don't happen quickly and he moves into the system quickly, particularly since he's healthy now and didn't pitch much this season.
Ronnie Jevaby (MLB.com after-draft)
The 6-foot-2, 184-pound junior put together an outstanding season, leading the team in batting average (.359), hits (88), total bases (130), on-base percentage (.408), stolen bases (24), doubles (15) and triples (three) en route to winning the Conference USA Newcomer of the Year Award.ogc: Again, Giants like award winners. And those are great stats for a lead-off type hitter. Looks like a typical Barr find, a player who is leading his team in a lot of offensive stats.
Ronnie Jebavy was minimally scouted and ranked (BA has him 208, not far from his 156 selection, but Garrioch did not include him in his Top 400 ranking) so I don't have much information on him.
Round 5 would be pretty early to save some bonus money, so I doubt they will try to save much bonus here. But $332,300 is a pretty large bonus to give to someone who was not rated very highly and 208th gets roughly $200K slot bonus, so the Giants might try to get some minimal savings here.
Steven Duggar (MLB.com):
Scouting grades: Hit: 50 | Power: 40 | Run: 70 | Arm: 60 | Field: 50 | Overall: 45
Though Duggar had arguably the best all-around tools in the Cape Cod League last summer, he never really has lived up to them in three years at Clemson. A team that believe he can fulfill his untapped potential at the plate could select him as high as the second round.
Duggar has the bat speed and strength to hit for power and drives the ball during batting practice, but he doesn't during games. There's a lot going on in his left-handed swing and he's susceptible to breaking balls. While he has a knack for drawing walks, he also gets too passive at times and strikes out too often.
A well above-average runner, Duggar has the speed to steal bases and cover ground in the outfield. He has played mostly right field for the Tigers and his strong arm is an asset there, though he'll probably move to center field as a pro. How much his bat develops will determine whether his future is as an everyday player or an extra outfielder.Steven Duggar (MLB.com after draft)
Duggar hit .304 (69-for-227) with five home runs, 43 RBIs and 10 stolen bases this year. A native of Moore, S.C., Duggar was named to the Third-Team All-ACC and the ACC All-Academic team in both 2015 and '14. The 6-foot-2, 200-pound outfielder played for Falmouth in the Cape Cod League in 2014, where he hit .323 with 35 runs, seven doubles, 13 RBIs and 15 steals in 46 games. He was selected to the Cape Cod League All-Star Game and earned all-league honors.
ogc: Another Cape Cod standout, the Giants love them Cape Codders, as well as honors and awards. Could be a find according to this description, the Giants drafted him in the 6th round, similar to how the Giants picked up Osich, who was first round talent, in the 6th round too (he fell due to being injured as well as an injury history. Giants often work with hitters to get them to be more aggressive swinging at strikes in his wheelhouse early in the count, instead of taking so many pitches for strikes, that was an issue with Bocock, just taking pitches, but then the MLB pitchers caught on, and then he was striking out all the time. Sounds like Duggar has the raw materials, much like the Giants thought that Belt had the raw materials, then worked with him on his mechanics. He also has speed (wow, 70 speed) to help him in CF as well as steal bases. Unfortunately, he looks like another Gary Brown, he has a lot of CS on the back of his baseball card. A strong arm would help with him playing CF for the Giants.
Jose Vizcaino, Jr (Garrioch):
Jose Vizcaino has a high waisted, athletic build and looks more like a 3B or even corner outfielder than a SS. I would bet he's move to the hot corner right after he's signed, if he signs. He has a strong arm, quick release and good hands. He has been a bit under the radar for me as I have never seen a Santa Clara game, just some video. He has hit well in limited action this year and there is potential for him to be a big leaguer. His Dad was Jose Vizcaino, the 18 year big leaguer.Jose Vizcaino, Jr (MLB.com after draft)
The 6-foot-2, 218-pound infielder was named College Sports Madness All-West Coast Conference Player of the Year, as well as WCC Rawlings Player of the Week three times in 2015. He also made First Team All-West Coast Conference for the second year in a row. He was previously selected by the Los Angeles Dodgers in the 36th round of the 2012 Draft, but he chose not to sign.ogc: Son of the former Giants player we picked up in the infamous Matt Williams trade. His slotted bonus is $186,600, and that is roughly what he should expect, maybe a little high, based on the rankings. Another award winner and honoree.
Cory Taylor (MLB.com after draft)
As a junior, the 6-foot-2, 252-pound hurler went 6-1 with a 3.93 ERA. Taylor threw his first career complete game on May 31 in the Patriots' NCAA regional elimination game. He allowed one run on three hits with a season-best nine strikeouts in Dallas Baptist's 8-1 victory over Texas. In 2014, the Owasso, Okla., native ranked 25th in the nation in strikeouts per nine innings with 9.84, which also ranked as the third-best all-time in Dallas Baptist history.ogc: Again, Barr loves national leaders, Taylor ranked 25th in K/9. And he stepped up in the elimination game. Nice pick in the high single digits rounds.
David Graybill (MLB.com):
Graybill has been drafted twice, and both times he elected to return to school. The 6-foot-4, 255-pounder was picked by the Dodgers in the 31st round of the 2012 Draft and again by the Yankees in the 32nd round a year ago. He returned to Arizona State University and made his first pitching appearance this year on March 22. Graybill went on to appear in nine games, including two starts, while recording a 4.32 ERA, nine strikeouts and nine walks in 8 1/3 innings. The Phoenix native pitched one inning in the Collegiate Baseball Classic against the D-backs on March 3.ogc: He was drafted way before any of his rankings. BA ranked him 446th (he was pick 276) and Garrioch didn't think enough of him to place him on his Top 400 list. Perhaps the Giants can get some bonus savings here, based on this, but in the past, the Giants tend to pay slot or near slot to even the guys who were huge overdrafts based on industry rankings. Still, he barely pitched, getting into only nine games, two starts, only 8.1 IP, giving the Giants some leverage in offering less bonus money, should they wish to do that.
Tyler Cyr (MLB.com after draft)
The 6-foot-3, 210-pound pitcher went 7-5 with a 3.14 ERA and 98 strikeouts in 17 appearances (15 starts) this year. He held opponents to a .213 (68-for-319) batting average while earning second-team All-Sun Conference honors. A native of Fremont, Calif., Cyr attended Skyline College in 2013 and struck out 31 batters in 35 innings.ogc: Barr and the Giants love strikeout artists, and it was nice that he held opponents down so low. But as a senior in college, he has an experience advantage going for him as well.
Jalen Miller is the only high school player, which is typical, the Giants generally draft college players, though this time they also selected two junior college players. Perhaps some of the extra money will to go sign him. He was ranked 35-54, so that would put his ranking bonus roughly $1.0-1.5M. Giants generally sign everyone they draft in the first ten rounds.
Tyler Cyr is the only senior college player selected, and his pick is slotted for $149,700. Assuming they are doing this to free up bonus money to sign someone else, this should free up an additional $140K, roughly. With the 5% max before penalties that they have been going up against most years now, together that is roughly $515K available to distribute to prep prospects who had fallen due to signability issues, the Giants lately have been drafting these players with their picks in the 30+ rounds, just in case they free up enough money to sign one of them. Could be used for Miller as well.
In addition, both Cory Taylor and David Graybill were not very highly ranked (or ranked at all), so the Giants could be thinking of offering them less, in order to free up more bonus money as well.