Friday, September 04, 2009

Your 2009 Giants are 73-61: Brewers Brewing

(Note: this has been edited; turns out Gallardo pitching 2nd game instead, so I've changed the pitcher comparisons)

Disappointing Phillies series, but that is the way it goes sometimes when you are playing against pitchers as good as Hamels, Happ, and Martinez. Even when you got Sanchez, Penny, and Lincecum going for you. You tip your cap to them and be glad you got a win out of it, and move on. They are the defending World Series champions, afterall, and have one of the best offenses around.

Brewers

Zito vs. Suppan: Perfect storm here. Zito is going strong, Suppan not, in fact he's horrible at home this season, 6.28 ERA. And has a 5.86 ERA against the Giants during his career. Dark cloud, however, is that Zito has not pitched well here at all in his career, with an ERA over 8. But that was the old Zito, this is the current one. I think the Giants should get this.

Cain vs. Yovoni Gallardo: Gallardo is one of the best pitchers in the league, just like Cain. The scary thing is that he is even better at home. However, his second half stats are much worse than his first half. Still, it's all relative, his second half ERA is only 4.28, and his home ERA is 3.28, while his overall ERA is 3.58. Plus, he has pitched well at home against the Giants.

Cain has been bad in Miller Park before, but he's an improved Cain this season. Still, I don't see how the Giants can come up on top of this one, though Gallardo only lasted 5.0 IP his last two outings, so things might pick up for us if we can get into their bullpen. Not that Cain is not that good, more that he'll be battling someone who is his equal for the most part, and he has home advantage.

Sanchez vs. Braden Looper: Looper has not been good either home or on the road, about 5 ERA either way. He also hasn't pitched well against the Giants during his career, 565 ERA. Sanchez has been horrible at Miller but he's an improved Sanchez this half of the season. The Giants should be the favorites in this matchup.

So it looks like the Giants should win 2 of 3 this series [addendum: I say this with knowledge we already got one from them in Game 1], keeping up with the Rockies for the most part. A sweep is possible, but not too likely unless the bats wake up against Gallardo, which is not very likely. Maybe somebody will inspire the team.

Addendum: Remember, the main goal is to keep close to the D-Rox, so whatever they do this weekend, we need to match or equal that. But that's hard when they are playing the D-backs, though the D-backs have been a little tougher lately, going 6-4 over their last 10 games.

Go Giants!

3 comments:

  1. I screwed up the pitching matchups, they changed the rotations on me or I followed the wrong games or something.

    It is actually Yovani Gallardo in game 2, pushing Looper to game 3. I've changed the text for both games plus added some text to the bottom.

    ReplyDelete
  2. No pre- or post-game from Baggs today. Too bad. He always has good stuff when our boys win the game.
    Do you agree with Bochy that Posey's first MLB appearance should be a start? I think it should be an easier pinch-hit or something. Seems strange to throw a kid out there in the middle of the race like that. Maybe he's cool enough to handle it though.

    ReplyDelete
  3. I jumped the gun. Baggs did post on his blog last night.

    ReplyDelete

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