2010 Draft Countdown: Deadline Over

According to reports, the Giants have signed both Gary Brown and Jarrett Parker, links to news on their names.

Gary Brown got a bonus of $1.45M which is above the $1.242M slot for the 24th pick overall and is roughly what the 17th pick got.  That is roughly what Lincecum and Bumgarner got over slot at the 10th pick slot.

Jarrett Parker got a bonus of $700K which is above the $492,300 slot for the 74th pick overall and is roughly what the 50th and 51st pick got, roughly beginning of second round bonus for a back of second round pick, and slightly below what BA had him ranked overall on talent, which was roughly back of supplemental first round, or $717K to $800K.

Giants Thoughts

Hopefully one of them will be our future CF, but the odds of either making it to the majors as a good player is relatively low, under 20% collectively, probably closer to 15%.  The draft is a numbers game, the more you have, the greater the odds, particularly if you are valuing the picks correctly regarding bonus, it takes roughly $10-15M in bonuses to find each good player in the draft.

Still, I like Gary Brown's chances to make the majors, the question is how good he'll be.  At minimum, it sounds like he will be a fine defensive player with the speed to handle fielding CF and Death Valley.

People question his hitting but the good points there are that he was the best hitter in the Big West over the past seven seasons, which included Evan Longoria and Kurt Suzuki, and that he did well in the Cape Cod league, a wood bat league, in his second season there.  Also, his speed will help him get hits that others wouldn't get, he has incredible speed, equivalent to left-handed batters getting to 1B despite his disadvantage of hitting right-handed.

Also, people knock his lack of walks, but he has shown the ability to take walks when he was not capable of hitting over .400, as he did this season, he was taking a lot of walks in his freshman season, both in the Big West and the Cape Cod league.  It was just that once he figured out the hitting part, he walked less.  I think he will adjust to his ability level to keep his OBP relatively high.

Of course, if he can get on base enough, he'll be the lead-off hitter we have been craving.  And if he can hit for enough power, he could be similar to a younger, faster Andres Torres, though probably not the type of power Torres has flashed so far, maybe the same amount of doubles and triples though, just not as many HR. That would be plenty good for our offense, which should have Posey and Pablo in the middle for years to come.