Friday, August 13, 2010

Your 2010 Giants are 66-50: Dirty Promises Sweep of 'Dres

What an idiotic boast Jonathan Sanchez made, about sweeping San Diego.  First, take care of your own games, he was horrible in his last start.  Maybe boast that you'll be great pitching in his next start, but really, a sweep?  Second, focus on the task on hand first, which was taking care of the Cubbies.  Third, don't make promises for your teammates.  Sure, say that you really believe in this offense and pitching staff, but to say that the Giants will win in the other two games in the series?  I hope the kangaroo court fined him big time for that asinine promise.

Game 1:  Clayton Richard vs. Sanchez

MLB Notes:
'Dres:  Richard struggled in his last start, allowing five earned runs in 3 2/3 innings, his shortest start of the year. He's had a rough go in the second half, posting a 5.93 ERA in five starts. This after a 3.33 ERA in the first half of the season.
Giants:  Sanchez will be attempting to recover from a stumble in his last start, when he allowed four runs in four innings to the Braves in one of his shortest starts of the season. His control has been the primary reason for his struggles.
As I've been noting since ASB, San Diego's young starters should stop pitching well soon, particularly Richard and LeBlanc, because they aren't really as good as they appeared in April/May.  As you can see, Richard has not pitched well since and he's going to be hitting the wall in terms of IP usage soon as well.

I would say that the Giants should win this one, except that Sanchez made his stupid boast.  In the past, when there was pressure on him, he would wilt - not a bad thing per se, but a sign of youth - like pitching in home opener this season.  However, he had a great start with the pressure on and in a park that is horrible for pitchers, and he shut out Colorado just the start before.  I think that showed signs of maturity that was dashed by his stupid boast.

So I will have to call this even with a lean towards Sanchez for having much better talent overall in his career, plus this is the team he no-hit, so he seems to have their number.  Before, when under pressure, he got amped up and was wild.  But if he can calm himself down like against the Rockies, then we have a great battle at hand, and probably a win.  And even if amped up, Richard has struggled for a long while now, so it should be an even battle at worse.

Game 2:  Mat Latos vs. Bumgarner

'Dres:  Latos continues to impress in his first full season. He won his 12th game of the year in his last start in Arizona, tossing six shutout frames with six strikeouts. He hasn't allowed more than two earned runs in any of his past 10 starts.
Giants:  Bumgarner hasn't won since July 24 but has allowed more than three runs only once in his past nine starts. Last time out, the young left-hander allowed three runs in 5 2/3 innings to the Cubs in a no-decision.
Top prospect starting pitcher vs. top prospect pitcher, mano-a-mano.  Unfortunately, Latos has been on a great streak over the past two months, while Bumgarner struggled mightily in his last start against a poor struggling offense and really, his last two starts.  He will have to bring his A game to win against Latos.  Have to say that I would lean heavily towards Latos in this one.

Game 3:  Wade LeBlanc vs. Lincecum

'Dres:  LeBlanc wasn't exactly efficient on Tuesday against the Pirates, tossing 106 pitches in 5 2/3 innings, but he was effective. He tied his career high with eight strikeouts and allowed one run on five hits to pick up just his second win since June 18.
Giants:  Lincecum's strange season continued against the Cubs, as the two-time NL Cy Young Award winner experienced the worst first inning of his career, giving up four runs. Lincecum exited after four innings, allowing six runs on eight hits.
LeBlanc has also been doing worse lately.  4.31 ERA since late June, and generally around 4.50 for the past month or so, which is about what his talent level really is, mid-to-back rotation starter.  

Luckily he's up against Lincecum as Timmy had a horrible start in his last game.  Luckily, his peripherals looked good in that start, it appears to be just one of those bad luck games where balls just fall in for hits and you are screwed.  This is not like earlier in the season when Lincecum was struggling, as he was walking people left and right back then but only walked one in his last game, and still struck out 4.  

If Timmy was going against a stronger pitcher, I would be more worried.  Still, because he did struggle in his last game, I would have to call this game even with a strong lean towards Lincecum.

Giants Thoughts

A win is a win is a win. It don't matter if ugly wins, in history books, the Giants are now 66-50 and facing Padres this weekend. Teams battling successfully for playoffs need to win ugly games like this plus take down bad teams like Cubs, by hook or crook. Giants offense won this series, the pitching let the team down.

Now the Giants take on the 'Dres, and really, they need to sweep to make a statement, Sanchez statement or not.  If they simply win the series 2-1, which I think is very likely, they are still behind the division leader, with a tough stretch of good teams facing us (though the 'Dres will have it tough going on the road for a long 10 game stretch themselves) coming up in Phillies, Cards, Reds, then after D-backs, face on the road D-gers, D-backs, 'Dres, before home for 3 against D-gers again.  That is a very tough stretch and could decide whether the Giants are battling for a playoff spot down the stretch or not.  A sweep would be great for getting a good start to this tough stretch.

Kung Fu Panda Mojo Back?

The good news is that Burrell and Sandoval are both starting to heat up (and Rowand and Ishikawa have been hitting well for over a month, for that matter), as Torres, Huff and Posey start to cool down.  We will need  the four of them, contributing on varying levels to get into the playoffs.  Particularly with the Cards and Phillies breathing down our backs just one game back in the wild card race.

Sandoval especially, he's key for the Giants not only this season but for the future, whereas Burrell being good is good for us now, but who knows about next season?  So far, so good for Sandoval (as I covered in my previous post).  Nothing conclusive over one week's worth of games, but significant because he hasn't done this since his great month of April.  And if he's hitting well, then we have a great block of hitters up top:  Torres, Huff, Posey, Sandoval, Burrell, plus Uribe and sometimes Ishikawa (people don't like Ishi, but not very many teams have a near 800 OPS hitting batting 8th).

Teams Different Now from Mid-May SD Sweep

Big differences for the Giants and 'Dres between Mid-May Sweep and now, and back then they squeaked by us, 3-2, 5-2, 1-0:

  • No Posey
  • No Torres leading off
  • No Burrell
  • Pandoval in deep slump of early May
  • Rowand slumping
  • Schierholtz slumping
  • Downs slumping
  • No Freddy Sanchez
  • Richard and LeBlanc were pitching like aces
  • Ludwick and Tejada
The Giants have a much better offense now with Torres leading off, providing both OBP and ability to drive in guys who get on base ahead of him, then Huff, Posey, Burrell/Uribe in the heart of the lineup.  In addition, we got Rowand pitching in with a nice and quiet .276/.360/.423/.782 for the last two months, Ishikawa doing it on and off the bench, .312/.350/.440/.791 since the end of May, almost three months of good hitting and defense.

Plus, San Diego is not as good.  Their pitching is falling back down to earth.  Both Richard and LeBlanc are regressing to their talent level as shown by previous seasons:  mid-to-back rotation starters.  That's decent to have on a team, so nothing against them, but on a poor offensive team like the 'Dres, they aren't going to win a lot of games being average or worse. Plus, in any case, should hit IP limits soon if not already, then who are they going to start?  And Tejada hasn't been hitting, and while Ludwick has been hitting homers, he hasn't been doing much of anything else, and their offense is not built for long ball, it has been a small ball offense.  Other than A-Gon, nobody gets on base much, so they have to manufacture when someone does get on.  

Other Roster Changes

Then there are the recent trades to add Mike Fontenot and Jose Guillen to the bench.  Fontenot only gives us an average MI player, but on a bench, an average player is very valuable to have.  There is not as much of a drop off when giving Sanchez or Uribe a rest at 2B or SS.  He is basically average at 2B defensively but horrible, though in very few starts, at SS.  He was OK defensively at SS in the minors though.  Plus, since he's a lefty, we might see him in a semi-platoon with Sanchez if Freddy slumps again (he's been hitting OK since August 3rd, .250/.351/.406/.758.

There has been a lot of tweets over the Guillen trade.  Looks like we got him for PTBNL and the Royals are sending cash to us (Hank Schulman tweeted that Guillen will only cost the Giants $250K and a low-to-mid level prospect), though don't know how much yet.  Looks like he will join the team tomorrow, at which point the team would have to make a corresponding move, which right now looks like Burriss going down.  Jeff Fletcher of AOL tweeted that Bochy says that Guillen is new starting RF and Huff starts at 1B.  Which means, of course, that Ishikawa is going back to bench.

I don't think that is best because Ishikawa has been hitting better than Guillen, plus plays great D at 1B.  Also, he's hitting better than Guillen on an OPS basis for the past 4-5 seasons combined for Guillen.  The good thing is that Guillen  adds another HR power bat to our lineup, which is good because obviously our lineup is not built for speed and small-ball, it is built to win on the long ball.  

Hopefully this works, but I am smelling another Garko redux, though at least Guillen has a long history of doing some offensive damage in the majors while Garko didn't have much and still was on the decline.  I wonder who we gave up, though we do know the player is from the Giants non-keeper list.  The Giants in their press release noted Guillen's accomplishments for the A's when they got him, particularly in the playoffs.  And he did hit very well in April and June, just not so good in May and particularly July and now August.  

Clearing his mind by being on a playoff contender might just be what he needs, but I remain skeptical, though I would note that almost anyone would be depressed being on that dreary KC team.  People complain about Sabean but KC has had a number of even better draft picks than Sabean and built up a team of mainly hitting prospects, and still is not going anywhere, they are apparently aimless.

People are understandably in love with offensive players - the players I loved and followed growing up and beyond were mostly hitters, Bobby Bonds, Dave Kingman, Jack Clark, Chili Davis, Chris Brown, Will Clark, Matt Williams, though I loved John the Count Montefusco too - but I've been trying to explain how significant starting pitchers can be for many years now.

Starting Pitchers More Influence Than Most Think

People (particularly sabers) point out that position players play every game and contribute almost every game, but I think that they are missing one important point:  affect on the outcome (i.e. win/loss).  Unless the hitter is hitting a home run, he can go 5 for 5, but if everyone else don't get a hit, there is no offense.  A hitter, in isolation, is relatively useless.

A pitcher can command how a game go.  Even the lousiest of pitchers can have a well pitched game sometimes.  Not that he was lousy, but Bobby Jones of the Mets shut down the Giants in the playoffs when he was not that particularly good as a starting pitcher.  But that day, he was the ace they needed.  And the best of pitchers - Lincecum, Cain, among others - can deliver a well pitched game anywhere from 50-80% of the time.  

Unless the hitters are getting on base before the big bopper, he can't really influence a game all by himself, he needs men on base to have a great affect on the game's result, win or lose.  So while a hitter can contribute something almost every game he plays, the opportunities he has to truly influence a game's results are limited and depends on the other hitters to deliver before and after him.  A good example of this is San Diego's offense with A-Gon and the 7 offensive dwarfs and the Giants previously with Barry Bonds in his last few seasons.

Some will say that this is not Bonds or A-Gon's fault, that they were not surrounded by hitters who could make them pay off offensively.  But that still ignores the reality that pitchers don't really need others in that way, though they do need the position players to play adequate defense.  But pitchers like Lincecum and Sanchez who strike out a lot of batters, sometimes up to half of the hitters they face, have a lot of control over the action that don't involve their fielders.  That is the DIPS supposition - measuring those things that pitchers have control over.

Pitchers have a lot of control over what they do in the game, and the best can do it a large majority of the time, on a game by game basis, which puts the team in great position to win when they are able to do that.  So it might seem like a position player contributes more because he plays 150+ games plus fields his position, but the pitcher has a greater contribution to the outcome of any particular game he starts, anywhere from 10 to 25 starts out of 32.  

As I've been documenting and following in my side column, when the opposing team is held to 3 runs or less, your team wins the great majority of the time, even with as poor an offense as the Giants had in 2009.  When you have a rotation full of pitchers who can do that, it is easier to win games, it is easier to win series.  And they have a direct effect on the outcome of the game, whereas even the best hitters in history can only influence the outcome.  We got a great example of that in yesterday's game, Burrell had a grand slam and we should have won, but he wasn't the game winner hit.

Of course, without hitters, even great pitchers can't win, but given the choice of a great hitter or a great pitcher, I would go for the great pitcher every time because if he is on top of his game, we win the game, even with a near bottom of league offense, but the hitter can hit 4 homers every game and we could still lose 5-4 each time because we have no pitching.  


  1. the thing I'm seeing in the boxes are the walks (by Giants hitters). Including Freddy, as his .100 difference between BA and OBP attests. Fontenot is a very good thing, as you say, infield depth is no longer a potential black hole.

    I don't think it's fatal hardly, but the Guillen trade seems pointless. I've long been a believer in Ishi, and is Guillen really going to be better than an 800 OPS? And of course Ishi's defense. Then again, as I think you allude to but don't say right out, peripherals equal wins, and I'm really pleased with the peripherals. I assume they're somewhat pitching around him, but seeing Posey drawing a couple walks makes me feel good about this team. Quite heartening in a potentially over-excited rookie batting fourth.

    Who knows? If I were Guillen, I'd be thrilled to death to get out of KC. If he's his usual or worse, a lame move, but I'll take small sample size HOF numbers for the next month and a half with no complaints.

  2. I see the Guillen move as pretty close to no-lose. There have been times in his career when he was an offensive force. Ishikawa has been good, but in a barely good way. I'm not sure how much faith I have in him down the stretch. Obviously, the Giants don't have much. Maybe they catch lightning in a bottle with Guillen. Worst case, he turns into Garko and goes to the bench or gets released.

  3. I agree DrB, and I've been encouraged by the articles that have come out in the media discussing Guillen. He can be a pain, but mainly he's a pain when he feels he is on a team of losers, as he views himself as a winner. That can be a good influence and he views the Giants as winners and is excited to be here.

    Still, if things should get dicey, he could upset the apple cart by going public, so we'll see how that goes. I don't expect things to get dicey, but you never know.

    And yes, if Guillen can raise things a notch, like he did when he joined the A's, he is a huge improvement over Ishikawa. So it is worth a try to see if we can catch lightening in the bottle again, as Baggarly put it, and if not, then he probably gets released because I don't think he'll be much help on the bench, he'll be a poison if anything.



1984 Draft (1) 2007 Draft (15) 2007 Giants (52) 2008 Draft (22) 2008 Giants (53) 2008 season (6) 2009 Draft (18) 2009 Giants (87) 2009 season (24) 2010 Decade (12) 2010 Draft (11) 2010 Giants (137) 2010 NL ROY award (1) 2010 season (19) 2010's (3) 2011 Draft (9) 2011 Giants (84) 2011 season (8) 2012 Draft (11) 2012 Giants (93) 2012 season (11) 2013 Draft (3) 2013 Giants (39) 2013 season (5) 2014 (1) 2014 draft (5) 2014 Giants (79) 2014 season (16) 2015 Draft (4) 2015 Giants (50) 2015 season (10) 2016 Draft (1) 2016 Giants (45) 2016 season (6) 2017 Draft (3) 2017 Giants (27) 2018 Draft (8) 2018 Giants (44) 2018 Season (7) 25 man roster (10) 25th man fallacy (1) 3B (1) 40 Man Roster (10) 49ers (1) 6-man rotation (3) 89 Quake (1) 89 World Series (1) A-Ball (1) A-Gon (1) A-Rod (3) A's (6) AA-Ball (1) Aaron Rowand (25) accomplishments (1) ace pitcher (1) Adalberto Mejia (6) Adam Duvall (5) AFL (4) aggression (1) Albert Suarez (5) Alen Hanson (2) Alex Hinshaw (3) Alex Pavlovic (1) Alexander Canario (1) All-Star Game (1) almost perfect game (1) Alonzo Powell (1) Amphetamine (2) analysis (20) Andre Torres (14) Andres Torres (2) Andrew McCutchen (2) Andrew Suarez (5) Andrew Susac (11) Andy Baggerly (2) Andy Sisco (1) Andy Suarez (4) Angel Joseph (1) Angel Pagan (17) Angel Villalona (30) Anniversary (1) appendicitis (1) Aramis Garcia (2) Arbitration (19) Armando Benitez (5) Armando Gallaraga (1) art of failure (1) Asia-Pacific signing (1) assessment (1) Astros (2) At the Rate They Are Going (1) ATT Park (1) Aubrey Huff (20) Austin Jackson (2) Austin Slater (4) Award (4) BABIP (3) Bam Bam Meulens (1) Barry Bonds (30) Barry Zito (77) baseball (1) Baseball America (3) Baseball Prospectus (3) Baseball Prospectus Bias Against Giants (3) baseball strategy (6) Baseball Study (17) baserunning (2) batting peripherals (1) batting stance analysis (1) batting title champion (1) Beat LA (9) bench players (4) Bengie Molina (14) Benjamin Snyder (1) Bert Blyleven (1) best manager (2) best practices (2) Beyond the Box Score (1) Bias Against Giants (1) Big 6 (9) Bill Hall (1) Bill James (1) Bill James Handbook (2) Bill Mueller (1) Bill Neukom (21) Billy Beane (3) Blog Philosophy (2) Bob Howry (2) Bob Mariano (1) Bobby Evans (3) Boston Red Sox (1) Brad Hennessey (5) Brad Penny (2) Brandon Bednar (1) Brandon Belt (50) Brandon Crawford (25) Brandon Hicks (1) Braves (5) breakout (2) Brett Bochy (4) Brett Pill (9) Brian Anderson (1) Brian Bocock (2) Brian Cooper (1) Brian Horwitz (3) Brian Ragira (2) Brian Sabean (46) Brian Wilson (14) Bridegrooms (6) Bruce Bochy (34) Bucky Showalter (1) bulllpen (5) Bullpen (33) Business Plan (14) Buster Posey (102) Byran Reynolds (2) Byung-Hyun Kim (1) Cained (4) call-ups (3) Candlestick Park (1) Cards (13) Career Prospects (4) Carl Hubbell (1) Carlos Beltran (4) Carlos Gomez (1) Carney Lansford (2) Carter Jurica (1) Casey McGeHee (3) catcher injury (5) catching (3) CBT penalty (1) CC Sabathia (1) censorship (2) CEO (2) Chad Gaudin (5) Charles Culberson (5) Charlie Culberson (3) Chase Johnson (3) Chillax (1) Chris Brown (1) Chris Gloor (1) Chris Heston (19) Chris Lincecum (1) Chris Marrero (1) Chris O'Leary (1) Chris Ray (4) Chris Shaw (4) Chris Stewart (4) Chris Stratton (25) Chris Strattton (1) Christian Arroyo (7) Christmas (1) Christopher Dominguez (4) Christy Mathewson (1) Chuckie Jones (2) Clay Hensley (3) Clayton Blackburn (10) Clayton Tanner (3) Closer (9) closer by committee (3) Coaches (4) coaching changes (1) Cody Hall (2) Cody Ross (8) Col (1) Comeback Award (1) Commissioner (1) comparison (1) competitive advantage (1) Competitive Balance Tax (2) competitiveness (2) Connor Nurse (1) Conor Gillaspie (25) contender (1) contract extension (3) contract negotiations (2) contract signing (7) core competency (1) Core Rotation (1) Cory Gearrin (5) Cory Guerrin (1) Cory Hart (1) Craig Whitaker (2) Curt Young (1) cuts (1) Cy Young Award (5) cyber-relief (1) D-backs (15) D-gers (36) D-Rocks (3) D-Rox (17) D.J. Snelten (3) Dallas McPherson (1) Dan Ortmeier (11) Dan Otero (2) Dan Runzler (6) Dan Slania (3) Dan Uggla (1) Daniel Carbonell (1) Daniel Slania (2) Darren Ford (1) Dave Righetti (1) Dave Roberts (11) David Aardsma (1) David Bell (1) David Huff (2) David Loewenstein (1) Decade of the Giants (11) decline (1) Defense (8) Deferred Money (1) deleted comment (1) Denard Span (3) depth (1) Dereck Rodriquez (2) Derek Holland (12) Derek Law (10) Detroit Tigers (1) DFA (3) DH (2) Dick Tidrow (2) dictionary (1) Dirty (1) DL (3) dodgers (14) Donald Snelten (1) Draft (10) Draft Analysis (18) Draft Bonus (7) draft list (3) draft philosophy (1) draft signing (3) Draft Strategy (11) Draft Study (3) Draft Success (3) drafting (3) Dres (16) DRS (1) Dynasty (1) Edgar Renteria (13) Eduardo Nunez (4) Edwin Escobar (5) Ehire Adrianza (26) Eli Whiteside (4) Elimination game (1) EME (2) Emmanuel Burriss (18) epic season (6) era (1) Eric Byrnes (1) Eric Surkamp (6) Erik Cordier (1) Eugenio Velez (12) evaluation (2) Evan Longoria (3) extension (7) fan outrage (1) fan rants (1) fanfest (1) FanGraphs (2) felony conviction (1) Fielding (4) Fielding Stats (4) finger injury (3) first post-season press conference (3) Francisco Peguero (4) Fred Lewis (3) Freddie Lewis (17) Freddie Sanchez (4) Freddy Sanchez (7) Free Agency (7) Free agent possibilities (24) Free agent signing (17) Free agent signings (21) front office (2) Game Score (3) gamer-tude (1) Garrett Williams (1) Gary Brown (26) Geno Espinelli (1) George Kontos (10) Ghosts of Giants Drafts (2) Giants (8) Giants Announcer (1) Giants blogs (3) Giants Chat (4) Giants Defense (2) Giants Draft (15) Giants Drafts (2) Giants Farm System (32) Giants Franchise record (2) Giants Future (64) Giants GM (5) Giants Greats (3) Giants hitting manual (1) Giants No-Hitter (5) Giants Offense (29) Giants Offseason (21) Giants Pitching (3) Giants Strategy (36) GiDar (1) Gino Espinelli (1) glossary (1) Gold Glove Award (1) good will (1) Gorkys Hernandez (2) Graphical Player (1) Gregor Blanco (18) Gregor Moscoso (1) Guillermo Moscoso (2) Guillermo Mota (2) Guillermo Quiroz (1) Gustavo Cabrera (4) Hall of Fame (9) Hall of Shame (4) Hank Aaron (5) Happy Holidays (2) Hate mail (1) healthy (1) heart-warming (1) Heath Hembree (8) Heath Quinn (1) Hector Correa (1) Hector Sanchez (12) Heliot Ramos (5) Henry Sosa (8) HGH (1) Hidden Game (1) high expectations (1) high school focus in draft (1) high velocity hitters (1) high velocity pitchers (1) Hitter's League (1) Hitting (18) Hitting Coach (1) hitting mechanics (3) hitting pitchers (2) hitting streak (1) Hitting; (1) Home Run Career Record (7) Home Run Hitting Contest (1) Hunter Pence (25) Hunter Stickland (1) Hunter Strickland (9) Ian Gardeck (1) Idea (4) IFA (1) improvement (2) Indictment (1) Infield (1) injury (7) instant replay (2) instructor (1) Interesting Question (1) International Free Agent Pursuits (5) International Signings (5) interview (4) Investment (1) Ivan Ochoa (2) J2 (1) Jack Taschner (4) Jackson Williams (3) Jacob Dunnington (1) Jacob Gonzalez (2) Jacob McCasland (1) Jae-gyun Hwang (1) Jake Dunning (2) Jake Peavy (39) Jake Smith (1) Jalen Miller (1) Japanese Starters (1) Jarrett Parker (10) Jason Heyward (1) Jason Maxwell (2) Jason Stoffel (1) Javier Lopez (5) JC Gutierrez (3) Jean Machi (6) Jeff Kent (1) Jeff Samardzija (23) Jeff Suppan (1) Jeremy Affeldt (12) Jeremy Shelley (2) Jerome Williams (1) Jesse English (2) Jesse Foppert (1) Jesus Guzman (4) Jimmy Rollins (1) Joaquin Arias (14) Joe Panik (18) Joe Torre (1) Joey Bart (2) Joey Martinez (2) Johan Santana (1) John Barr (1) John Bowker (22) John Thorn (1) Johneshwy Fargas (2) Johnny Bench (1) Johnny Cueto (28) Johnny Monell (1) Johnny Rucker (1) Jonah Arenado (1) Jonathan Mayo (1) Jonathan Sanchez (49) Jordan Johnson (1) Jose Canseco (1) Jose Casilla (1) Jose Guillen (3) Jose Mijares (3) Jose Uribe (2) Josh Osich (9) JT Snow (1) Juan Perez (6) Juan Uribe (9) Juggling Monkey (1) Julian Fernandez (7) Julio Urias (1) jury (1) Just Say No (1) Kelby Tomlinson (5) Kendry Flores (2) Keury Mella (2) Kevin Correia (2) Kevin Frandsen (22) Kevin Pucetas (10) KNBR (1) Kung Fu Panda (30) Kyle Crick (16) Larry Baer (2) Larry Ellison (1) Lead-off (2) leadoff (1) left-handed (1) Lew Wolff (1) LHP (1) Lineup (17) lineup construction (3) Lineup position (1) links (1) Lon Simmons (1) long relief (2) Long-Term Contract (22) long-term planning (3) losing streak (1) Lucius Fox (3) luck (2) Luis Angel Mateo (2) lunatic fringe (1) Mac Marshall (1) Mac Williamson (11) Madison Bumgarner (177) Mailbox (1) Malcolm Gladwell (1) management change (3) management issues (5) managerial value (5) Manny (1) Marc Kroon (2) Marco Scutaro (12) Mark DeRosa (8) Mark Gardner (1) Mark Melancon (4) Marlon Byrd (1) Martin Agosta (7) Marvin Miller (1) Masahiro Tanaka (1) Mason McVay (1) Matsuzaka (1) Matt Cain (160) Matt Downs (2) Matt Duffy (8) Matt Graham (1) Matt Holliday (1) Matt Krook (2) Matt Moore (15) Matt Morris (2) Mechanics (4) Media (16) Media Bias (17) Media Trade Idea (3) Medical (1) Mediocy (10) Mediots (5) Melk-Gone (1) Melky Cabrera (14) Melvin Adon (1) memories (1) mental (1) Merkin Valdez (8) Message in a Bottle (1) methodology (2) MI (1) Michael Main (1) Michael Trout (1) middle infield (1) Miguel Cabrera (2) Miguel Gomez (1) Miguel Tejada (5) Mike Fontenot (3) Mike Ivie (1) Mike Kickham (9) Mike Leake (11) Mike Matheny (1) Mike Morse (10) milestone (1) minor league (1) minor league contract (4) minors (11) mismanagement (1) misnomer (1) mistakes (2) MLB (2) MLB stupidity (2) MLB Success (7) MLB Trade Rumors (1) MLBAM (1) MLBTR (1) MLE (1) Mock Draft analysis (8) MVP (2) Natanael Javier (1) Nate Schierholtz (45) Nathanael Javier (1) Nationals (1) Naysayers (1) Negotiations (1) Neil Ramirez (1) NewPQS (5) Next Gen (1) Nick Hundley (2) Nick Noonan (27) Nick Pereira (1) Nick Vander Tuig (2) NL Champions (2) NL West (27) NL West Division Title (19) NL West Future (1) NLCS (22) NLCS MVP (2) NLDS (8) Noah Lowry (14) non-roster invitees (2) non-tenders (2) Nori Aoki (4) NPB (1) NRI (1) Oakland A's (4) OBP (1) oddities (1) Offense (3) offensive era (1) ogcPQS (4) Omar Vizquel (3) one-run games (3) Opening Day (5) opening day pitcher (3) opening day roster (10) Optimism (1) Osiris Matos (2) Outfield (3) overturned (1) Ownership (7) Pablo Sandoval (97) Padres (1) Panda (6) Pandoval (1) passing (1) Pat Burrell (15) Pat Misch (5) Payroll (11) PECOTA (1) Pedro Feliz (12) PEDS (10) Perfect Game (2) perjury trial (1) Personal Reminiscence (2) Pessimism (1) Pete Palmer (1) Pete Rose (3) Peter Magowan (2) Phil Bickford (3) Phillies (7) philosophy (1) Phoenix Theory of Rebuilding (1) Pierce Johnson (2) Pitch Count (3) pitch framing (1) pitch value (1) Pitcher hitting 8th (1) Pitchers League (1) Pitching (21) pitching analysis (2) Pitching Rotation (83) pitching staff (5) plate discipline (1) platoon players (1) Play Ball (1) player budget (2) player development (2) playoff (2) playoff analysis (1) playoff hopes (37) playoff roster (2) playoff rotation (5) Playoff Success (21) Playoffs (41) postmortem (2) PQS (102) press conference (2) pressure (2) priorities (1) Projected Record (6) projection (2) projections (2) promotion (2) prospect (3) prospect analysis (4) prospect handling (1) Prospect of Note (3) prospect study (1) Prospects (44) quality starts (1) questions (1) radio great (1) Rafael Rodriquez (8) Rajai Davis (2) Ralph Barbieri (1) Ramon Ramirez (3) Randy Johnson (10) Randy Messenger (2) Randy Winn (14) Rangers (5) Ranking (4) rant (1) raspberry (1) Ray Durham (5) re-sign (2) Rebuilding (4) Rebuilding Myths series (1) rebuttal (1) Reds (5) rehab (1) reliever (2) Relocation Concession (2) Research (2) resource scarcity (1) rest for starters (1) Retired (3) Retirement (2) return (1) Reyes Moronta (3) RHP (1) Ricardo Genoves (1) Rich Aurilia (7) Rick Peterson (1) Rickie Weeks (1) Ricky Oropesa (3) right-handed (1) risk mitigation (2) risk profile (1) Roberto Gomez (1) Rockies (1) Rod Beck (1) Roger Kieschnick (13) Roger Metzger (1) Ron Shandler (2) Ron Wotus (1) Ronnie Jebavy (1) Rookie of the Year (1) Roster (4) rosterbation (2) ROY (2) Royals (3) Rule 5 (2) Rule 5 Draft Pick (4) rumors (9) run production (1) runs support (1) Russ Ortiz (11) Russell Carleton (1) Ryan Garko (2) Ryan Klesko (4) Ryan Rohlinger (2) Ryan Theriot (3) Ryan Vogelsong (93) Ryder Jones (2) Sabean Naysayers (7) Sabermetric Thoughts (6) sabermetrics (5) SABR (1) Salary speculation (3) SALLY (1) Sam Dyson (7) Sam Wolff (1) San Jose Giants (1) San Jose Relocation (3) Sandro Fabian (2) Sandy Rosario (1) Santiago Casilla (9) Scott Boras (1) Scott McClain (2) Scott Shuman (1) Scouting (1) Sean Hjelle (2) secret sauce (1) Sergio Romo (17) Seth Corry (2) SF Giants (2) Shilo McCall (1) Shohei Ohtani (1) Shohei Otani (2) Shooter (1) shutouts (1) Signature Song (1) signing (13) Silly-Ball (3) South Atlantic League (1) South Bay Rights (1) SP usage (1) spin rate (1) splits (2) Sports Illustrated (1) Spring Training (16) stabilized stats (1) standings (1) starting CF (1) starting lineup (19) starting pitching (88) Statcorner (1) State of the Giants (1) statistics (2) STATS (1) Steamer (1) Steroids (6) Steve Edlefsen (4) Steve Johnson (3) Steve Okert (8) Steven Duggar (7) strikeout rate (2) Sue Burns (1) sunk costs (1) superstition (1) Tax (1) team culture (1) Team of the 2010's (1) Team of the Decade (3) Team Speed (1) Team Support (1) Thank You (1) The Evil Ones (tm) (1) The Giants Way (1) The Hardball Times (1) The Hey Series (15) Thomas Joseph (3) Thomas Neal (9) Tigers (4) Tim Alderson (17) Tim Hudson (39) Tim Lincecum (195) Todd Linden (3) Todd Wellemeyer (6) Tommy Joseph (3) Tony Watson (4) Top Draft Position (3) top player list (1) top prospect list (5) Trade (11) Trade Analysis (20) Trade Idea (9) Trade PTBNL (2) Trade Rumors (30) trading (1) training staff (2) Training Tool (1) Travis Blackley (1) Travis Ishikawa (47) Trevor Brown (5) tribute (1) turning point (1) Ty Blach (21) Tyler Beede (8) Tyler Cyr (1) Tyler Horan (1) Tyler Rogers (1) Tyler Walker (2) umpire mistake (3) Umpires (3) USA Today (1) utility (1) Voros McCracken (1) Waldis Joaquin (5) walks (1) Wall of Fame (1) WAR (2) Warrior Spirit (1) Wendell Fairley (10) What-If Scenario (3) wild card (1) wild card race (1) Will Clark (1) Will Smith (7) Willie Mac Award (1) Willie Mays (1) winning on the road (1) Winter League (1) winter meetings (2) World Series (26) World Series Champions (12) WS Ring Bling (1) xBABIP (1) xwOBA (1) Yusmeiro Petit (40) Zack Wheeler (9) ZiPS (1) Zito Role (1)