Game one has Vogelsong (3.29 ERA) vs. Alex White (Who? 2-8, 5.31 ERA). Here is what the MLB says about White:
White earned a no-decision when he last faced the Giants, on August 12 in San Francisco, throwing four innings and allowing three runs on seven hits. He has not pitched past the fourth in his last seven outings.While Vogie has struggled, he actually had 2 good starts until his bad one against AZ, and while you can write off the one in Houston as the competition, he did the other against the Braves. Given the comment about White above, we should win this game, with the caveat that Vogie has a 4.66 ERA in 6 games, 2 starts there. He had a bad start there earlier this season and a good start last season (4.15 ERA as the new, now, Vogie then).
Game two has Bumgarner (3.15 ERA) vs. Jhoulys Chacin (4.50 ERA). Bumgarner has a 2.59 ERA in 5 career starts there, 20 K vs. 6 BB, and an 0.89 ERA over 2011-12, shutting them out last season, and only giving up 2 runs in 13.1 IP this season. Chacin, coming back from injury, has not done very well, and against SF in his career, he has a 4.94 ERA in 4 starts and 1 relief appearance in Colorado, and in a start earlier this season, threw 4 IP and gave up 4 runs. Also looks like it should be a Giants win.
Game three has Lincecum vs. Jeff Francis (5.38 ERA). We know Tim has a lousy ERA but since the All Star game, it has been pretty good, even if his starts are never dominant nowadays. Francis has come back from injuries himself, been healthy this season, but not too effective. He has a career 4.30 ERA against the Giants in Coors Field. If Tim has his usual (i.e. recent game), we should win it but he has had his ups and downs. But he has a 4.08 ERA in his career (and that was when he was reliably good). Could go either way, but I would lean towards a win.
Overall, looks like it should be a sweep, but there's always something going wrong somewhere, a pitcher would fail and/or the offense will sputter, and we end up with a loss. But for one of the few times in visiting Colorado in the history of the rivalry, we look good for winning a series here in Mile High Stadium. And all we need to do is keep on winning series and that should get us to the magic number sooner than later. Oh, and Schulman noted that the Giants have won 9 of 10 in Colorado the past two seasons.
And Posey has continued to make his case for MVP. He had an amazing sequence batting in the 6th versus Blanton, who was quoted as saying it was one of the best at-bats ever against him, as Posey fouled pitch after pitch, until he got the mistake he wanted, and hit a homer. Fangraphs covered it nicely here.
MVP! MVP! MVP!
He has simply been amazing this season, just in general, but then you throw in there that he is STILL recovering from a devastating ankle injury, a part that catchers generally put a lot of pressure and work on it, makes it all the more impressive. Part of me still believe that he willed the team to victory in 2010, and the way this season is going, that belief is growing with each feat he performs.
The first game will bring SF even with LA in the number of games left to play. With 22 games left to play, if the Giants win the first game, their magic number would be 16 games. With the D-gers facing tough series coming up - D-Rox in Colorado (always rough on any team), then Cards in LA, then Nats and Reds on the road, three strong playoff contenders, with LA playing for the Wild Card lead with the Cards, who are 1.5 games ahead of LA right now - that is 12 tough games for them. Lets say they go 1-1 in Colorado, then 3-1 in LA (just for arguments sake) vs. Cards, then split Nats and Reds, 3-3, that's 7-5. The Giants could go 6-6 and they would only gain one game in the standings, leaving them 4 to 5 games back, with only 9 games left to play. And if the Cards play them even, 2-2, that's 5 to 6 games back (depending on what the Giants do on Monday).