Winn's Knee "Issues"
Winn apparently has had "issues" with his right knee since May, since fouling a ball off it, according to Alou and the trainer Conte, but Winn basically denied that there was any lingering problems or problems currently with his knee. Could be that the Giants want to give an excuse for Winn's poor performance this year. And his stats sort of support it and sort of don't. He had a good April, then an OK May (just not enough hits), but a great June, which appears to refute that the knee was a problem, but since then he has been pretty horrible so one could make the case that perhaps he aggravated it in late May, early June, and hasn't been the same since, posting a low .600 OPS since the end of June.
And whatever the problem is, it has caused him to go from getting more walks than strikeouts, as he did in April, May, June, to horrible walk totals for July, August. Plus no HR from June 27 to August 8th and only 2 total since June 27th. If there were really issues, the Giants should have just DLed him and played Finley in his place, get him all healed, particularly after that putrid July, perhaps he could be on fire right now instead of struggling.
Cain's Innings Too Much?
The writer also noted a worry about Cain's innings. He noted that Cain is at 150 IP and approaching his "high from last year, when he threw 192." My math shows that he is 42 IP from his high of last year. There are 30 games left. With a 5 man rotation, that's 6 starts left. He has averaged 6 IP per start this season. So that means he is on pace for 36 IP for those 6 games and 186 IP for the year. What's the worry? That Cain might match his career high?
This reminds me of a debate I was in on McCovey Chronicles last week. The guy cried about how delicate any young pitcher's arm is thus we should not put so much stress on Lincecum's arm by putting him in the majors next season and only add about 20 IP per season to stretch his arm out; he's convinced that's what harmed Mark Prior's arm. So I outlined there how Lincecum is already at 162 IP combined college and pros, plus the games he could expect to throw for the rest of the San Jose Giants schedule, he'll be at around 170-180 IP for this season. So he's already ready to throw in the majors, most starting pitchers throw no more than 180-200 IP, particularly if you are the #4 or #5 starter on the staff. So how would Lincecum's arm be harmed by being in the majors, he has already thrown that many innings this season.
That is, unless the guy is now claiming that the Giants are irreparably harming Lincecum's arm by not shutting him down after a few starts. But that was not his starting point of his argument, he was just reacting to a comment about how another fan wanted to allow Lincecum in the major league rotation next season if he was ready. This guy was clearing reaching up you know where (where the sun don't shine for those who don't get it) for his arguments as he made either a clearly false statement or a stupid statement. Either way, doesn't make him look all that good (which is too bad for him because he's trying to make himself out as some sort of expert for hire).
Furthermore, if he believes so strongly about damaging young pitcher's arms, where was he the past three seasons while Cain went from 19.1 IP plus whatever he did in high school at age 17, jumped to 74.0 IP in 2003 when he was 18, jumped to 158.2 IP in 2004 when he was 19, and then jumped to 192.0 IP in 2005 when he was 20. Based on that 20 IP per year rule, Cain's not due to throw nearly 200 IP until he is 23-24 years old, based on the IP he did at age 18.
And even if this is some new learning on his part, even I knew immediately that Cain would be considered abused by his rule, he never mentioned Cain at all in his arguments. Following his assertions to their logical conclusion, Cain is headed to a Mark Prior-like existence in the near future. Maybe, maybe not, Cain did have that thing he was shut down for in his first full season as a pro, but he has been injury free since then, with nary a hint that he is injury-prone, unlike, say, Francisco Liriano, who had multiple injuries shutting him down before the Giants traded him to Minnesota.