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Thursday, June 19, 2014

Your 2014 GIants: Dissecting 1-8 PQS Style

Wow, mea culpa for even looking at how good the Dodgers would have to play to catch the Giants.  This game can be such a humbler. I wondered how badly the starters did in PQS in the streak so far.

ogc thoughts

Would you believe that in those 9 games, the Giants starters had 5 DOM (56% DOM which is pretty good) and only 1 DIS (11% DIS which is very good).  If a starter did that over a full season, he should have a very good season, very low ERA.

Bumgarner lost two DOM starts (teams normally win around 70-80% of them), Lincecum and Vogie each lost one DOM start, with Hudson the only one winning a DOM start.  Of course, he was the one with the disaster start, first one in 13 starts for the rotation:  again, any pitcher doing that over a season is usually having a very good season.

And they only have 2 DIS starts over their last 39 starts, again, great numbers.  Meanwhile, they had 23 DOM starts for roughly 60% DOM, which is good.  So the starters have been very good for a very long stretch, and nothing in the last 9 games signal that anything is changing for them, other than that the team has been losing games that they should have been winning going 1-4 in DOM starts is a pretty big aberration (though I just noticed that they only had 1 DOM start in the last four starts).  As long as they don't stress and change something they should be fine.

And the reports from the beats are that they are treating this as an aberration.  As one of the players noted, the Giants could have as easily been 3-0 as 0-3 in the Rockies series, and 2-2 and not 1-3 in the Nats series.  And the beats also noted that the clubhouse was pretty laid back, not stressing at all.   Well, with the lead that they had, and they still have a pretty good lead, they should not feel any extra stress.

So I'm trying not to worry.  The logical side says that things are still fine, as long as the Giants starters are going strong, we will be fine.  The emotional side of me, of course, is spiraling along with other Giants fans.

Go Giants!

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