Info on Blog

Friday, June 02, 2006

Giants PQS: Updated to June 1

I'm just going to update this via a new post each time, it is too cumbersome for me to modify one post with updated stats. This post has the Giants Pure Quality Start scores for the 2006 season as of June 1, as defined in Ron Shandler's Baseball Forecaster annual book.

Giants Starters' PQS for 2006 Season (as of June 1, 2006)

Matt Cain - ( 33% DOM, 33% DIS): 3, 4, 1, 4, 5, 0, 1, 3, 3
Brad Hennessey - ( 0% DOM, 20% DIS): 3, 2, 3, 1, 2,
Noah Lowry - (20% DOM, 20% DIS): 3, 1, 3, 2, 5
Matt Morris - ( 30% DOM, 20% DIS): 3, 4, 3, 1, 4, 1, 2, 3, 2, 5
Jason Schmidt - ( 78% DOM, 0% DIS): 3, 5, 4, 3, 5, 5, 4, 3, 4, 5, 4
Jamey Wright - ( 40% DOM, 20% DIS): 3, 4, 3, 2, 1, 3, 4, 5, 4, 0

Giants overall - 38% DOM, 16% DIS out of 50 games pitched

NOTE: I think technically, under the system, Lowry's first start and Morris' start where he promptly got ejected, should count against their totals, but I think under the extenuating circumstances, they should not, basically because this system tries to ferret out how the good performances by a starter and none of those games were zeros because of a poor performance. Lowry got injured early in the game; and Morris got ejected early in the game.

Latest Comments

The Giants starters overall have been pitching well in their games. A DOM near or around the 40% mark is indicative of good pitching; above 50% is great and more. A low DIS is also indicative of good pitching. So, generally, the Giants pitching has been doing OK this season and has been bordering on good overall.:
  1. Schmidt is looking very dominating thus far, obviously. He has returned to elite status, joining those with a DOM greater than 70%. And he has even had one disaster start yet. He is going to have quite a big payday with his next contract, despite his sharp reduction in strikeouts.
  2. Morris had a bad patch of games there but appears to have righted himself in his last start, which was rated as a dominating start. It was his first in five starts. Hopefully he can keep this going.
  3. Lowry, despite apparently doing well his first start, it was just OK as the underlying PQS metrics says he is lacking in quality. However, his last start was a dominant one, just like Morris, so perhaps Lowry is finally breaking out of spring training mode after being out for so long with the injury and being unable to do much of anything to keep his conditioning from spring training.
  4. Matt Cain was doing very well early but maybe the lack of overt success got to him and he started messing around with his mechanics or something, leading to all the disaster starts lately. However, after skipping one start to work on his mechanics, along with a relief outing, he has pitched much better the past two starts. The 1-hitter was particularly good, though it didn't qualify as a dominating start because of the high number of walks and relatively low strikeouts, but that was against an Oakland team built to do exactly that so that probably wasn't all his fault.
  5. Wright is doing as well as could be expected, but he was also just one out away from a DOM start when the umpire blew the call and gave the other team a baserunner. He then gave up a bunch of hits - had the umpire not blow the call, he would have gotten a DOM and put him at 50%DOM, which is good. In any case, he has been pitching well enough for the team, making up for Morris not being the Morris we expected to get when he was signed. Luckily Wright's performance covered for Morris and now it looks like Morris might be breaking out soon.

The rotation is shaping out nicely. Schmidt has been on a tear for a while now. Morris and Lowry just tossed dominating games. Cain appears to be back on track. And Wright has been the most consistent pitcher outside of Schmidt and helped carry the team while the other three starters have been struggling with one thing or another. It looks like the Giants can get a nice win streak going real soon with the pitchers all doing well. Hopefully Matheny going on the DL won't break the momentum started.

Methodology Explanation

Please look at my link to the side for my explanation.

No comments:

Post a Comment