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Wednesday, January 20, 2016

The Linceum Conundrum

Tim Lincecum is a free agent, and his future is debated vigorously by Giants fans.  His showcase, which he said would happen in January is so far MIA.  What should the Giants do, sign him or let him go?

Tuesday, January 19, 2016

2015 Giants: September and Final PQS

This post has the Giants Pure Quality Start scores for the month of September 2015 and for the season, PQS as defined in Ron Shandler's Baseball Forecaster annual book and they published the details here (unfortunately, they removed the article; this link gets you at least to the PQS definition, read down to middle for details). I wrote on this first in 2006 (wow, 10th year of this!) and have compiled their stats on a regular basis, so I'm continuing it this season for continuity and historical comparison (there is the "PQS" label that you can click to see the old posts on this). Regular readers can skip to the next section.

This is the Quality Start with a sabermetric DIPS twist, and it gets really easy to calculate once you get used to it. I don't think it's the end all or be all, but then nothing really is that. It is, as I like to say, another piece of the puzzle. A dominating start is scored a 4 or 5 and a disaster start is scored a 0 or 1. DOM% is the percentage of starts that are dominating, DIS% is the percentage of starts that are disasters (any start under 5.0 IP is automatically a 0, or disaster).

Monday, January 11, 2016

Your 2016 Giants: Steamer Projections

Some lineup and pitching staff analysis based on the current Steamer projections and expected team roster.

Thursday, January 07, 2016

Your 2016 Giants: Current Thoughts (Plus Denard Span!)

Trying to forget recent events, so I'm focusing on how I think the current Giants rotation can do, compared to the Dodgers, and possible moves left to make.

Sidenote:  I've been working on this for the past week or so, before the news of the Giants signing Denard Span to a contract, just moments ago.  I'm leaving in my notes about the OF, just for the record.  I'll add an addendum as well on Span.